Sport Picks
Marcilio Dias vs Figueirense
Brazil
Copa Santa Catarina 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Figueirense have shipped 1.12 goals a game lately, while Marcilio Dias have conceded 1.03 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Marcilio Dias slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.31) point toward Marcilio Dias. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Figueirense have won more games recently than Marcilio Dias.
- Win probability leans Marcilio Dias's way, sitting at 40%.
- Figueirense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Marcilio Dias, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marcilio Dias | Figueirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.12 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marcilio Dias's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Figueirense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Solid form: Marcilio Dias remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marcilio Dias
(Home)Figueirense
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marcilio Dias | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15:9 | 10 |
| 2 | Figueirense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Hercilio Luz | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 4 | Joinville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 9 |
| 5 | Santa Catarina | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 6 | CA Metropolitano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 8 | Blumenau | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 9 | Nacao | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
