Sport Picks

Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026

Mardin 1969

5 - 0

Adanaspor AS

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Sert O.

Assist: Kaya S.

21'

Altan V.

Assist: Cetin S.

41'

Kaya S.

Assist: Cetin S.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 game between Mardin 1969 and Adanaspor AS finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Mardin 1969

Draws

Adanaspor AS

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mardin 1969 come out ahead of Adanaspor AS on wins alone.
Mardin 1969 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%

Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%

Adanaspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mardin 1969	Adanaspor AS
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	21	2
Draws	5	1
Losses	6	26
Goals Scored	2	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.75	3.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 2. Lig Red Group

Mardin 1969 vs Adanaspor AS

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

5:0

Oct 19, 2025 2. Lig Red Group

Adanaspor AS vs Mardin 1969

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sert O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Altan V.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

Adanaspor AS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 85 / 100

Adanaspor AS 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mardin 1969 Adanaspor AS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adanaspor AS let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Mardin 1969 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mardin 1969 scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS Adanaspor AS

2 Goals Scored 0.5

0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bursaspor	34	25	5	4	87:19	80
2	Mardin 1969	34	22	5	7	67:25	71
3	Musspor	34	21	7	6	82:35	70
4	Aliaga	34	21	6	7	81:32	69
5	K. Istklalspor	34	21	4	9	82:33	67
6	Isparta 32 Spor	34	18	9	7	70:36	63
7	Guzide Gebzespor	34	16	10	8	56:31	58
8	Menemenspor	34	15	6	13	57:51	51
9	Ankara Demirspor	34	14	7	13	47:47	49
10	Aksaray Bld.	34	11	14	9	52:38	47
11	Trabzon FK	34	13	8	13	54:51	47
12	Arnavutkoy Bl.	34	13	7	14	40:36	46
13	Fethiyespor	34	11	11	12	52:41	44
14	Kirklarelispor	34	9	9	16	44:49	36
15	Soma Spor	34	8	6	20	41:68	30
16	Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu	33	4	3	26	22:97	12
17	Adanaspor AS	33	2	1	30	14:159	1
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	34	0	2	32	8:114	-52