Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Denizlispor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Cerioglu I.
70' Event
Yigit S.
72' Event
Sagir B.

AI Match Summary

Mardin 1969 in this 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Mardin 1969
17%
Draws
13%
Denizlispor
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mardin 1969 lately — more wins on the board than Denizlispor.
  • Model gives Mardin 1969 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%
Denizlispor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Denizlispor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 6 12
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Denizlispor vs Mardin 1969
1:1
Dec 1, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Mardin 1969 vs Denizlispor
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yigit S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cerioglu I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Denizlispor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 67 / 100
Denizlispor 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Denizlispor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Denizlispor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Mardin 1969 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mardin 1969's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mardin 196930207364:2467
2Sebat Spor Kulubu30214573:2867
3Agri 197030177642:2758
4Zonguldak Komurspor30176741:2857
5K. Istklalspor30168655:2656
6Kirikkale FK30166844:3154
7Orduspor 196730165961:3353
8Bursa Nilufer301011938:2941
9Erciyes 3830971435:4834
101926 Polatli Belediye30781537:5829
11Izmir Coruhlu30771641:5828
12Nigde30691530:5327
13Edirnespor Genclik30571828:6222
14Tepecik30491724:5421
15Denizlispor305121327:5521
16Turgutlu30471934:6019