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Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Manisa FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 21 Kasım Stadyumu, Mardin
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mardin 1969 host Manisa FK in the 1. Lig. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Manisa FK have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Mardin 1969 have conceded 0.66 and scored 1.48. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 0.94, favoring Mardin 1969. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mardin 1969
20%
Draws
20%
Manisa FK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Manisa FK haven't matched Mardin 1969's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%
Manisa FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Manisa FK
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.66 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 31 / 100
Manisa FK 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Manisa FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mardin 1969 scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Manisa FK has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Away concern: Manisa FK has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mardin 1969 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS Manisa FK
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
19 Oct
Erokspor
4 : 2
Mardin 1969
15 Oct
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
F. Karagumruk
11 Oct
Bursaspor
1 : 2
Mardin 1969
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
Page 1 of 6

Manisa FK

(Away)
19 Oct
Manisa FK
3 : 4
Muglaspor
15 Oct
Manisa FK
1 : 1
Erokspor
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 11 8 2 1 24:7 26
2 Bursaspor 11 8 1 2 22:9 25
3 Igdir FK 11 7 2 2 15:8 23
4 Keciorengucu 11 5 5 1 21:11 20
5 Batman Petrolspor 11 6 2 3 22:19 20
6 Mardin 1969 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Antalyaspor 11 6 0 5 17:17 18
8 Sariyer 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
9 Muglaspor 11 3 6 2 13:14 15
10 Bandirmaspor 11 3 5 3 16:8 14
11 Bodrumspor 11 3 5 3 13:10 14
12 Sivasspor 11 2 7 2 15:14 13
13 F. Karagumruk 11 3 4 4 14:15 13
14 Erokspor 11 2 6 3 10:13 12
15 Umraniyespor 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
16 Manisa FK 11 2 4 5 18:20 10
17 Pendikspor 11 2 4 5 12:21 10
18 Vanspor FK 11 2 3 6 10:22 7
19 Istanbulspor AS 11 1 2 8 9:26 5
20 Boluspor 10 0 1 9 3:22 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)