Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Soma Spor

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Uluk A.
Assist: Akcay M. C.
71' Event
Sengul M.
Assist: Uluk A.
73' Event
Uluk A.
Assist: Aydin A.

AI Match Summary

Mardin 1969 in this 2. Lig Red Group 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Mardin 1969
30%
Draws
41%
Soma Spor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Soma Spor haven't matched Mardin 1969's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 28.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 68%
Soma Spor Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Soma Spor
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 2. Lig Red Group
Mardin 1969 vs Soma Spor
3:0
Sep 7, 2025 2. Lig Red Group
Soma Spor vs Mardin 1969
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Uluk A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sengul M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Soma Spor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 41 / 100
Soma Spor 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Soma Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mardin 1969 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mardin 1969 scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Soma Spor let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Mardin 1969 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS Soma Spor
1 Goals Scored 1.43
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
38% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
Bodrumspor
02 Sept
Sivasspor
2 : 2
Mardin 1969
29 Aug
Mardin 1969
1 : 1
Vanspor FK
Page 1 of 6

Soma Spor

(Away)
26 Sept
Ankaraspor
0 : 1
Soma Spor
20 Sept
Soma Spor
1 : 3
Musspor
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Soma Spor
3 : 3
Aksaray Bld.
25 Apr
Soma Spor
2 : 3
K. Istklalspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bursaspor 34 25 5 4 87:19 80
2 Mardin 1969 34 22 5 7 67:25 71
3 Musspor 34 21 7 6 82:35 70
4 Aliaga 34 21 6 7 81:32 69
5 K. Istklalspor 34 21 4 9 82:33 67
6 Isparta 32 Spor 34 18 9 7 70:36 63
7 Guzide Gebzespor 34 16 10 8 56:31 58
8 Menemenspor 34 15 6 13 57:51 51
9 Ankara Demirspor 34 14 7 13 47:47 49
10 Aksaray Bld. 34 11 14 9 52:38 47
11 Trabzon FK 34 13 8 13 54:51 47
12 Arnavutkoy Bl. 34 13 7 14 40:36 46
13 Fethiyespor 34 11 11 12 52:41 44
14 Kirklarelispor 34 9 9 16 44:49 36
15 Soma Spor 34 8 6 20 41:68 30
16 Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 33 4 3 26 22:97 12
17 Adanaspor AS 33 2 1 30 14:159 1
18 Yeni Malatyaspor 34 0 2 32 8:114 -52
Promotion - 1. Lig (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs (Main)