Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mardin 1969 vs Tepecik

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kose S.
19' Event
Cerioglu I.
37' Event
Cerioglu I.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 4 2024/2025 game between Mardin 1969 and Tepecik finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mardin 1969.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Mardin 1969
6%
Draws
4%
Tepecik
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mardin 1969

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mardin 1969 come out ahead of Tepecik on wins alone.
  • Model gives Mardin 1969 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Mardin 1969 Clean Sheet 20%
Tepecik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mardin 1969 Tepecik
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Mardin 1969 vs Tepecik
5:1
Oct 13, 2024 3. Lig Group 4
Tepecik vs Mardin 1969
0:3
Apr 24, 2022 3. Lig Group 3
Mardin 1969 vs Tepecik
1:1
Dec 5, 2021 3. Lig Group 3
Tepecik vs Mardin 1969
2:0
Mar 17, 2021 3. Lig Group 2
Tepecik vs Mardin 1969
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mardin 1969 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dilek U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kose S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Tepecik Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mardin 1969 85 / 100
Tepecik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mardin 1969 Tepecik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tepecik has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mardin 1969 found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Mardin 1969 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mardin 1969 VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mardin 1969

(Home)
20 Jul
Eyupspor
1 : 0
Mardin 1969
09 May
Mardin 1969
2 : 1
Musspor
04 May
Mardin 1969
1 : 0
K. Istklalspor
30 Apr
K. Istklalspor
0 : 0
Mardin 1969
25 Apr
Mardin 1969
0 : 0
Fethiyespor
Page 1 of 7

Tepecik

(Away)
26 Apr
K. Istklalspor
2 : 0
Tepecik
20 Apr
Tepecik
0 : 1
Agri 1970
13 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 2
Tepecik
06 Apr
Erciyes 38
3 : 1
Tepecik
02 Apr
Mardin 1969
5 : 1
Tepecik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mardin 1969 30 20 7 3 64:24 67
2 Sebat Spor Kulubu 30 21 4 5 73:28 67
3 Agri 1970 30 17 7 6 42:27 58
4 Zonguldak Komurspor 30 17 6 7 41:28 57
5 K. Istklalspor 30 16 8 6 55:26 56
6 Kirikkale FK 30 16 6 8 44:31 54
7 Orduspor 1967 30 16 5 9 61:33 53
8 Gemlikspor 30 10 11 9 38:29 41
9 Erciyes 38 30 9 7 14 35:48 34
10 1926 Polatli Belediye 30 7 8 15 37:58 29
11 Izmir Coruhlu 30 7 7 16 41:58 28
12 Nigde 30 6 9 15 30:53 27
13 Edirnespor Genclik 30 5 7 18 28:62 22
14 Tepecik 30 4 9 17 24:54 21
15 Denizlispor 30 5 12 13 27:55 21
16 Turgutlu 30 4 7 19 34:60 19
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)