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Marek vs Beroe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marek host Beroe in the Vtora liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Marek at 1.04 goals for, 0.82 against; Beroe at 1.24 for, 1.17 against. Head-to-head, Marek have won 0 to Beroe's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2015, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Marek. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Marek
20%
Draws
47%
Beroe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Beroe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marek lately — more wins on the board than Beroe.
  • Marek are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Beroe have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Marek Clean Sheet 17%
Beroe Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek Beroe
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2015 Club Friendly
Marek vs Beroe
1:3
Dec 13, 2014 efbet League
Marek vs Beroe
0:3
Sep 13, 2014 efbet League
Beroe vs Marek
4:0
Mar 23, 2008 efbet League
Marek vs Beroe
0:1
Sep 15, 2007 efbet League
Beroe vs Marek
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 41 / 100
Beroe 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek Beroe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Beroe has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Marek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS Beroe
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
Page 1 of 6

Beroe

(Away)
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
27 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Yantra Gabrovo
20 Sept
Nesebar
4 : 3
Beroe
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
06 Sept
Dobrudzha
2 : 2
Beroe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)