Sport Picks
Marek vs Cherno More - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Bulgarian Cup 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Marek have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.81 conceded recently, against Cherno More's 0.96 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Cherno More slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2015, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.13) point toward Marek. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marek have won more games recently than Cherno More.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
- Marek have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cherno More, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cherno More here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marek | Cherno More |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cherno More's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Marek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Marek scored in 58% of their last 26 outings.
