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Marek vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2024/2025 Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Kolev I.
46'
Sub
Eta K. In: Karakashev L.
Out: Eta K.
46'
Sub
Karamanov R. In: Valeriev A.
Out: Karamanov R.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2024/2025 game between Marek and CSKA 1948 Sofia II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Marek
20%
Draws
29%
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marek come out ahead of CSKA 1948 Sofia II on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Marek taking it.
  • Regular Vtora liga 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Marek Clean Sheet 68%
CSKA 1948 Sofia II Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek CSKA 1948 Sofia II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Vtora liga
CSKA 1948 Sofia II vs Marek
2:0
Apr 22, 2024 Vtora liga
CSKA 1948 Sofia II vs Marek
0:1
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
CSKA 1948 Sofia II vs Marek
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Vtora liga
Marek vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Kolev I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

CSKA 1948 Sofia II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 77 / 100
CSKA 1948 Sofia II 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek CSKA 1948 Sofia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marek's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CSKA 1948 Sofia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Marek stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: CSKA 1948 Sofia II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
04 Oct
Chavdar Troyan
0 : 4
Marek
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
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CSKA 1948 Sofia II

(Away)
24 May
Spartak Pleven
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
20 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia II
12 May
Fratria
4 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
08 May
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
2 : 0
Svoge
03 May
Dobrudzha
4 : 1
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 38 25 10 3 75:22 85
2 Montana 38 22 12 4 53:15 78
3 Pirin Blagoevgrad 38 21 9 8 55:41 72
4 Marek 38 18 11 9 44:31 65
5 Yantra Gabrovo 38 18 10 10 59:37 64
6 Dunav Ruse 38 17 13 8 52:35 64
7 Etar 38 15 11 12 51:40 56
8 Belasitsa Petrich 38 16 8 14 42:45 56
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia II 38 16 4 18 51:53 52
10 Gorna 38 15 7 16 41:41 52
11 Spartak Pleven 38 14 9 15 35:43 51
12 Ludogorets II 38 13 12 13 53:42 51
13 CSKA Sofia II 38 12 13 13 47:41 49
14 Fratria 38 13 9 16 45:50 48
15 Minyor Pernik 38 11 8 19 36:56 41
16 Svoge 38 8 13 17 22:40 37
17 FC Lovech 38 8 9 21 19:45 33
18 Botev II 38 8 5 25 33:70 29
19 Strumska Slava 38 4 16 18 23:54 28
20 Nesebar 38 5 13 20 28:63 28
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Parva liga 2024/2025 (Relegation)