Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Bonchuk, Dupnitsa
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Miletic M.
24' Event
Goranov D.
28' Event
Goranov D.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Marek and Pirin Blagoevgrad finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Marek
15%
Draws
0%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marek carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Marek are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Marek Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marek Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 0.96 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3:0
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek
0:2
May 2, 2026 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Marek
0:0
Nov 2, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
3:1
Mar 22, 2025 Vtora liga
Marek vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Goranov D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Miletic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marek 85 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marek Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Pirin Blagoevgrad lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Marek's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Marek VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marek

(Home)
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
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Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
02 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
2 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
29 Aug
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Chernomorets 1919
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 10 6 3 1 23:11 21
2 CSKA Sofia II 10 6 2 2 22:9 20
3 Fratria 10 5 4 1 14:8 19
4 Chernomorets 1919 10 5 3 2 16:8 18
5 Nesebar 10 5 2 3 20:15 17
6 Yantra Gabrovo 10 5 1 4 12:10 16
7 Beroe 10 4 3 3 15:12 15
8 Rilski Sportist 10 4 3 3 13:10 15
9 Gorna 10 4 3 3 9:10 15
10 Hebar 10 4 2 4 23:17 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Spartak Pleven 10 4 1 5 11:19 13
13 Marek 10 4 1 5 11:12 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 10 3 2 5 13:21 11
16 Svoge 10 2 4 4 7:9 10
17 Dobrudzha 10 1 3 6 10:17 6
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 10 0 0 10 4:32 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)