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Margarethen vs Baumgarten

Austria Austria

Burgenland 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Margarethen in this Burgenland 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Margarethen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Margarethen
20%
Draws
23%
Baumgarten
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Margarethen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Margarethen lately — more wins on the board than Baumgarten.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Margarethen taking it.
  • Regular Burgenland 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Margarethen Clean Sheet 16%
Baumgarten Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margarethen Baumgarten
Matches Played 51 34
Wins 26 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.84 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2014 Burgenland
Baumgarten vs Margarethen
3:3
Sep 14, 2013 Burgenland
Margarethen vs Baumgarten
2:0
May 17, 2013 Burgenland
Margarethen vs Baumgarten
3:2
Oct 19, 2012 Burgenland
Baumgarten vs Margarethen
2:1
May 25, 2012 Burgenland
Margarethen vs Baumgarten
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margarethen 84 / 100
Baumgarten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margarethen Baumgarten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Margarethen found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (51 games).

Baumgarten's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Margarethen went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Margarethen VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Margarethen

(Home)
08 Aug
Rust
1 : 3
Margarethen
03 Jul
Margarethen
1 : 4
Gloggnitz
05 Jun
Oberpullendorf
2 : 3
Margarethen
29 May
Margarethen
1 : 1
Mattersburg SV 2020
22 May
Jennersdorf
0 : 1
Margarethen
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Baumgarten

(Away)
13 Jun
Baumgarten
2 : 3
Klingenbach
07 Jun
Horitschon
1 : 1
Baumgarten
29 May
Drassburg ASV
5 : 1
Baumgarten
23 May
Baumgarten
0 : 4
Pinkafeld
20 May
UFC St. Georgen
0 : 1
Baumgarten
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