Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Margveti 2006 vs Borjomi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Kirkitadze D.
(Penalty)
36' Event
Khetsuriani N.
50' Event
Baghdavadze S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Margveti 2006
15%
Draws
7%
Borjomi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Margveti 2006

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Margveti 2006 lately — more wins on the board than Borjomi.
  • Win probability leans Margveti 2006's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Margveti 2006 Clean Sheet 15%
Borjomi Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Margveti 2006 Borjomi
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.74 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs Borjomi
2:2
Jun 3, 2025 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Margveti 2006
1:0
Nov 14, 2017 Liga 3
Borjomi vs Margveti 2006
2:2
Oct 3, 2017 Liga 3
Margveti 2006 vs Borjomi
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Margveti 2006 Compare

Top Goalscorer Baghdavadze S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Borjomi Compare

Top Goalscorer Khetsuriani N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mumladze T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Margveti 2006 84 / 100
Borjomi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Margveti 2006 Borjomi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Margveti 2006 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borjomi let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Margveti 2006 scored in 71% of their last 34 games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Solid form: Margveti 2006 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Margveti 2006 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Margveti 2006

(Home)
17 Sept
Margveti 2006
3 : 0
FC Gardabani
10 Sept
Betlemi Keda
0 : 5
Margveti 2006
03 Sept
Margveti 2006
0 : 2
Merani Tbilisi
27 Aug
Didube
0 : 3
Margveti 2006
20 Aug
Margveti 2006
2 : 1
Orbi
Page 1 of 7

Borjomi

(Away)
05 Dec
Khobi
2 : 1
Borjomi
28 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
WIT Georgia
20 Nov
Shturmi
3 : 1
Borjomi
13 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 1
Dusheti
06 Nov
Margveti 2006
2 : 2
Borjomi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shturmi 30 21 7 2 68:22 70
2 Gori 30 20 7 3 58:28 67
3 Odishi 1919 30 20 4 6 59:19 64
4 Dusheti 30 19 6 5 79:35 63
5 FC Tbilisi 2025 30 17 7 6 59:32 58
6 WIT Georgia 30 14 10 6 64:32 52
7 Orbi 30 11 11 8 58:40 44
8 Didube 30 12 7 11 47:43 43
9 Merani Tbilisi 30 8 8 14 39:52 32
10 Betlemi Keda 30 7 8 15 43:71 29
11 FC Gardabani 30 8 5 17 37:67 29
12 Margveti 2006 30 7 7 16 36:71 28
13 Locomotive Tbilisi 2 30 8 3 19 43:68 27
14 Khobi 30 7 5 18 35:63 26
15 Borjomi 30 6 5 19 34:60 23
16 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 30 3 4 23 18:74 13
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2025 (Relegation)