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Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Miranda F.
57' Event
Eddy
66' Event
Marna J.

AI Match Summary

GD Braganca in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored GD Braganca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Maria de Fonte
15%
Draws
73%
GD Braganca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Braganca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • GD Braganca have won more games recently than Maria de Fonte.
  • Model gives GD Braganca a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte GD Braganca
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 9 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca
1:2
Jan 22, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Maria de Fonte
1:3
Sep 25, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GD Braganca vs Maria de Fonte
3:2
Jan 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs GD Braganca
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maria de Fonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Marna J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

GD Braganca Compare

Top Goalscorer Miranda F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eddy
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 10 / 100
GD Braganca 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte GD Braganca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Maria de Fonte found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

GD Braganca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Difficult form: GD Braganca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS GD Braganca
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maria de Fonte

(Home)
01 Nov
CDC Montalegre
2 : 0
Maria de Fonte
25 Oct
Maria de Fonte
1 : 2
GD Braganca
11 Oct
Maia Lidador
1 : 1
Maria de Fonte
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
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GD Braganca

(Away)
01 Nov
GD Braganca
0 : 1
Tirsense
25 Oct
Maria de Fonte
1 : 2
GD Braganca
17 Oct
Leiria
2 : 1
GD Braganca
11 Oct
GD Braganca
0 : 2
CDC Montalegre
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 7 5 2 0 17:10 17
2 Braga B 7 4 3 0 14:7 15
3 GD Braganca 7 4 1 2 9:6 13
4 CDC Montalegre 7 3 3 1 9:4 12
5 Tirsense 7 4 0 3 13:10 12
6 Chaves B 7 4 0 3 9:6 12
7 Ponte da Barca 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
8 Rebordosa 7 2 3 2 10:3 9
9 Celoricense 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
10 Vila Mea 7 2 3 2 10:8 9
11 Maia Lidador 7 2 2 3 9:9 8
12 Brito 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
13 Maria de Fonte 7 1 1 5 4:12 4
14 Vinhais 7 0 0 7 3:22 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)