Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2013/2014

Maria de Fonte

Sun, Sep 22, 2013

2 - 3

02:00 PM

Grandolense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Grandolense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%

Maria de Fonte

15%

Draws

33%

Grandolense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maria de Fonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Maria de Fonte come out ahead of Grandolense on wins alone.
Model gives Maria de Fonte a 52% chance of winning this.
Maria de Fonte have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Grandolense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 18%

Grandolense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Maria de Fonte	Grandolense
Matches Played	30	4
Wins	9	1
Draws	3	0
Losses	18	3
Goals Scored	1.1	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.97	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2013 Taça de Portugal

Maria de Fonte vs Grandolense

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 40 / 100

Grandolense 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Maria de Fonte Grandolense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maria de Fonte Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grandolense has conceded goals in 100% of their last 4 outings.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Maria de Fonte scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Grandolense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS Grandolense

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maria de Fonte

(Home)

13 Sept

Maria de Fonte

0 : 4

Braga B

06 Sept

Brito

2 : 1

Maria de Fonte

30 Aug

Maria de Fonte

1 : 0

Uniao Nogueirense

23 Aug

Maria de Fonte

0 : 1

Celoricense

16 Aug

Vinhais

0 : 1

Maria de Fonte

Page 1 of 6

Grandolense

(Away)

29 Aug

Serpa

2 : 0

Grandolense

08 Sept

Moncarapachense

3 : 0

Grandolense

20 Oct

Sertanense

2 : 0

Grandolense

22 Sept

Maria de Fonte

2 : 3

Grandolense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

FC Porto -

TBD -

Pedras Salgadas -

TBD -

Trofense -

Fatima 2

Castro Daire 0

TBD -

Sporting Ideal -

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 5

Ansiao 0

Vila Cortez 2

Castrense 4

Riachense -

TBD -

Vilaverdense FC -

Santa Eulalia 2

AD Portomosense 1

Almodovar 0

Ninense 1

SC Mirandela -

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Leixoes -

TBD -

Sampedrense 0

Sacavenense 3

Bustelo -

TBD -

FC Felgueiras -

Santa Clara -

TBD -

Coimbroes 1

Pinhalnovense 2

GD Tourizense 2

FC Lixa 1

TBD -

Covilha -

Famalicao -

TBD -

Eirense -

SC Praiense -

TBD -

Louletano -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Vila Flor 0

Merelinense 1

TBD -

Estoril -

Penafiel -

TBD -

Amiense 0

Tirsense 4

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Oliv. Bairro 0

SC Salgueiros 1

Operario 2

Sao Joao de Ver 3

Ferreiras 2

TBD -

Lusitano VRSA -

Juv. Evora -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 0

Ribeirao 6

AD Oliveirense 1

Vila Mea 0

FC Pampilhosa 0

Vizela 2

Carapinheirense -

TBD -

GS Loures -

Freamunde 3

Amarante FC 1

TBD -

Desportivo de Ronfe -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Marinhense -

TBD -

Caldas SC -

Portimonense -

TBD -

1º Dezembro 0

Boavista 1

Cerveira -

TBD -

Cova De Piedade -

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor -

TBD -

Alba -

Cinfaes -

TBD -

Santiago FC 0

Estarreja 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Braga -

TBD -

GD Sourense -

TBD -

SC Vianense 1

Gafetense 2

Lusitano FCV -

TBD -

Oliveira Hospital 0

C.F. Benfica 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Chaves -

TBD -

GD Braganca 0

AA Avanca 1

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Carregado 0

SB Castelo Branco 1

Varzim 1

Atletico SC 0

Aguias do Moradal 0

SC Espinho 2

TBD -

Arouca -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

AD Limianos -

TBD -

Oliveirense -

Leiria 2

Torreense 1

Naval 0

Marinhas 3

CD Torres Novas 2

Pero Pinheiro 1

TBD -

Tondela -

AD Fafe -

TBD -

Torre De Moncorvo 1

Perafita 2

Vitoria Sernache -

TBD -

Piense -

Aljustrelense 3

Casa Pia 2

TBD -

Igreja Nova -

Gondomar -

TBD -

Aves -

Academica -

TBD -

BSAD -

Oriental 7

Uniao Nogueirense 0

Manteigas 2

Aliados Lordelo 3

Nogueirense 3

Vieira 0

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Feirense -

TBD -

Moura AC 1

Sousense 2

Lusitania FC 1

SC Lourinhanense 0

TBD -

SC Farense -

Mafra 2

Sintrense 1

TBD -

Oriolenses -

Grijo 3

AD Lousada 2

TBD -

Beira Mar -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

FC Barreirense 2

O Elvas CAD 1

Atalaia do Campo 0

Alcanenense 7

Nacional -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 4

Valenciano 3

Vila Pouca 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Sertanense 1

Anadia 0

CDR Quarteirense 1

Amora 2

Maria de Fonte 1

GD Joane 0

TBD -

Grandolense -

Esperanca de Lagos -

TBD -

Pedras Rubras -

TBD -

Rio Ave -

1/64-finals

FC Porto -

TBD -

Pedras Salgadas 0

Trofense 3

Fatima 2

Sporting Ideal 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Camacha 3

Castrense 2

Riachense 0

Vilaverdense FC 1

Santa Eulalia 2

Ninense 1

SC Mirandela 0

Atletico CP 1

Leixoes 2

Sacavenense 0

Bustelo 0

FC Felgueiras 2

Santa Clara 1

Pinhalnovense 0

GD Tourizense 1

Covilha 3

Famalicao 3

Eirense 0

SC Praiense 0

Louletano 2

Moreirense 9

Merelinense 0

TBD -

Estoril -

Penafiel 2

Tirsense 1

Fabril do Barreiro 0

Operario 2

Sao Joao de Ver 5

Lusitano VRSA 0

Juv. Evora 0

Ribeirao 4

AD Oliveirense 1

Vizela 0

Carapinheirense 0

GS Loures 5

Freamunde 4

Desportivo de Ronfe 0

TBD -

Maritimo -

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

Marinhense 0

Caldas SC 6

Portimonense 2

Boavista 1

Cerveira 1

Cova De Piedade 3

Sporting CP -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor 1

Alba 2

Cinfaes 5

Estarreja 1

TBD -

Benfica -

Braga -

TBD -

GD Sourense 1

Gafetense 2

Lusitano FCV 2

C.F. Benfica 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Chaves 8

AA Avanca 0

U. Madeira 1

SB Castelo Branco 2

Varzim 3

SC Espinho 0

TBD -

Arouca -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

AD Limianos 1

Oliveirense 2

Leiria 3

Marinhas 1

CD Torres Novas 1

Tondela 5

AD Fafe 2

Perafita 1

Vitoria Sernache 2

Piense 3

Aljustrelense 3

Igreja Nova 1

Gondomar 1

Aves 2

Academica -

TBD -

BSAD -

Oriental 1

Aliados Lordelo 0

Nogueirense 1

Academico Viseu 2

Feirense 2

Sousense 1

Lusitania FC 2

SC Farense 3

Mafra 3

Oriolenses 0

Grijo 1

Beira Mar 4

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

FC Barreirense 1

Alcanenense 3

Nacional -

TBD -

FC Cesarense 1

Santa Maria FC 4

Sertanense 4

Amora 2

Maria de Fonte 2

Grandolense 3

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Pedras Rubras 0

TBD -

Rio Ave -

1/32-finals

FC Porto 1

Trofense 0

Fatima 0

Vitoria Guimaraes 3

Camacha 2

Vilaverdense FC 1

Santa Eulalia 0

Atletico CP 1

Leixoes 1

FC Felgueiras 0

Santa Clara 1

Covilha 2

Famalicao 2

Louletano 0

Moreirense 0

Estoril 2

Penafiel 4

Operario 2

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Ribeirao 2

AD Oliveirense 3

GS Loures 0

Freamunde 1

Maritimo 3

Gil Vicente 5

Caldas SC 0

Portimonense 0

Cova De Piedade 1

Sporting CP 8

Alba 1

Cinfaes 0

Benfica 1

Braga 2

Gafetense 0

Lusitano FCV 1

Olhanense 2

Chaves 2

SB Castelo Branco 1

Varzim 1

Arouca 4

Pacos Ferreira 3

Oliveirense 1

Leiria 1

Tondela 3

AD Fafe 6

Piense 0

Aljustrelense 0

Aves 1

Academica 3

BSAD 2

Oriental 1

Academico Viseu 2

Feirense 3

SC Farense 2

Mafra 0

Beira Mar 1

Vitoria Setubal 3

Alcanenense 1

Nacional 0

Santa Maria FC 1

Sertanense 2

Grandolense 0

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Rio Ave 3

1/16-finals

FC Porto 2

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Camacha 1

Atletico CP 2

Leixoes 2

Covilha 1

Famalicao 0

Estoril 1

Penafiel 2

Ribeirao 0

AD Oliveirense 0

Maritimo 3

Gil Vicente 1

Cova De Piedade 0

Sporting CP 3

Benfica 4

Braga 3

Olhanense 1

Chaves 0

Arouca 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Tondela 0

AD Fafe 1

Aves 2

Academica 2

Academico Viseu 1

Feirense 2

Beira Mar 3

Vitoria Setubal 2

Santa Maria FC 1

Sertanense 2

Rio Ave 4

1/8-finals

FC Porto 6

Atletico CP 0

Leixoes 1

Estoril 5

Penafiel 3

Maritimo 2

Gil Vicente 0

Benfica 5

Braga 2

Arouca 0

Pacos Ferreira 1

Aves 2

Academica 1

Beira Mar 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

Rio Ave 1

Quarter-finals

FC Porto 2

Estoril 1

Penafiel 0

Benfica 1

Braga 3

Aves 1

Academica 0

Rio Ave 1

Semi-finals

FC Porto 2

Benfica 3

Braga 0

Rio Ave 2

Final

Benfica 1

Rio Ave 0

Maria de Fonte vs Grandolense

Portugal

Maria de Fonte

Grandolense

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Maria de Fonte

Grandolense

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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