Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maria de Fonte vs U. Madeira

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maria de Fonte in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maria de Fonte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Maria de Fonte
15%
Draws
21%
U. Madeira
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maria de Fonte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte have won more games recently than U. Madeira.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on U. Madeira taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Maria de Fonte have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 16%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maria de Fonte U. Madeira
Matches Played 39 9
Wins 13 0
Draws 5 1
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 1.21 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Maria de Fonte
0:0
Oct 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs U. Madeira
5:0
Mar 8, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs U. Madeira
4:1
Oct 27, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Maria de Fonte
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maria de Fonte 15 / 100
U. Madeira 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maria de Fonte U. Madeira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Madeira Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: U. Madeira conceded in 100% of 9 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Maria de Fonte found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (39 games).

Away concern: U. Madeira has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Maria de Fonte VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Maria de Fonte

(Home)
20 Sept
Paredes
5 : 1
Maria de Fonte
13 Sept
Maria de Fonte
0 : 4
Braga B
06 Sept
Brito
2 : 1
Maria de Fonte
30 Aug
Maria de Fonte
1 : 0
Uniao Nogueirense
23 Aug
Maria de Fonte
0 : 1
Celoricense
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U. Madeira

(Away)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vilaverdense FC 18 13 3 2 40:18 42
2 Maritimo B 18 11 5 2 38:20 38
3 AD Limianos 18 9 4 5 30:22 31
4 Maria de Fonte 18 8 3 7 24:21 27
5 Pedras Salgadas 18 7 5 6 22:22 26
6 Camacha 18 7 4 7 25:22 25
7 SC Vianense 18 7 1 10 23:29 22
8 Merelinense 18 5 4 9 24:30 19
9 Forjaes 18 3 4 11 27:46 13
10 Camara de Lobos 18 3 1 14 20:43 10
11 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2021/2022 (Relegation Group)