Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mariategui de Picota vs Independiente Aguas Verdes

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Mariategui de Picota advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mariategui de Picota
39%
Draws
30%
Independiente Aguas Verdes
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mariategui de Picota come out ahead of Independiente Aguas Verdes on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Mariategui de Picota have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mariategui de Picota, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Mariategui de Picota Clean Sheet 12%
Independiente Aguas Verdes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariategui de Picota Independiente Aguas Verdes
Matches Played 7 2
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 1
Goals Scored 1.71 1.5
Goals Conceded 2 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2017 Copa Peru
Independiente Aguas Verdes vs Mariategui de Picota
3:1
Nov 5, 2017 Copa Peru
Mariategui de Picota vs Independiente Aguas Verdes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariategui de Picota 30 / 100
Independiente Aguas Verdes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariategui de Picota Independiente Aguas Verdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariategui de Picota's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Independiente Aguas Verdes has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Mariategui de Picota remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mariategui de Picota VS Independiente Aguas Verdes
1.71 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariategui de Picota

(Home)
10 Dec
Mariategui de Picota
2 : 3
Atletico Grau
06 Dec
Mariategui de Picota
1 : 2
Estudiantil CNI
03 Dec
Binacional
4 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
26 Nov
Mariategui de Picota
4 : 0
Coronel
19 Nov
Coronel
2 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
Page 1 of 2

Independiente Aguas Verdes

(Away)
12 Nov
Independiente Aguas Verdes
3 : 1
Mariategui de Picota
05 Nov
Mariategui de Picota
2 : 0
Independiente Aguas Verdes

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Atletico Grau3
Carlos Stein2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)3
Jose Maria Arguedas3
Mariategui de Picota3
Independiente Aguas Verdes3
Sport La Vid2
Coronel2
Binacional5
Defensor Laure Sur2
Jose Galvez1
Union San Martin3
Estudiantil CNI2
Juan Aurich Pastor1
Diablos Rojos Huancavelica0
Las Palmas5
Stage 2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stage 1
TBD-
TBD-
Final
Atletico Grau4
Jose Maria Arguedas4
Mariategui de Picota5
Coronel2
Binacional5
Union San Martin2
Estudiantil CNI3
Las Palmas3