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Maribor vs Bistrica

World World

Club Friendly
Sat, Jan 10, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Maribor host Bistrica in the Club Friendly. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Bistrica have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Maribor have conceded 2 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Maribor slightly — 3-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.63) back Maribor to edge this. Maribor in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Maribor
22%
Draws
18%
Bistrica
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistrica has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Maribor.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Maribor.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Maribor Clean Sheet 14%
Bistrica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Bistrica
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Bistrica
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Bistrica
8:0
Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Bistrica
3:0
Apr 25, 2023 Slovenian Cup
Bistrica vs Maribor
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 57 / 100
Bistrica 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Bistrica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor scored in 84% of their last 25 games.

Bistrica let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Maribor went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bistrica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Bistrica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%