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Maribor vs Charlton

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Mesik I.
46'
Sub
Bumbic C. In: Slana F.
Out: Bumbic C.
46'
Sub
Kaminski T. In: Mannion W.
Out: Kaminski T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Maribor
30%
Draws
35%
Charlton
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charlton lately — more wins on the board than Maribor.
  • Maribor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Charlton
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Club Friendly
Maribor vs Charlton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshipamba I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Charlton Compare

Top Goalscorer Leaburn M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 67 / 100
Charlton 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Charlton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Maribor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Charlton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Charlton
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
15 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
Maribor
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
04 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
Maribor
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
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Charlton

(Away)
15 Aug
Charlton
2 : 1
Derby
08 Aug
Cheltenham
1 : 3
Charlton
01 Aug
Reading
3 : 0
Charlton
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2
Charlton
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0
Charlton
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