Sport Picks

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Maribor vs Koper

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Sun, Aug 9, 2026
VS
06:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maribor host Koper in the Prva liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Koper have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Maribor have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Koper slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.38) point toward Koper. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Maribor
35%
Draws
38%
Koper
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Medium Confidence
  • Maribor haven't matched Koper's recent run of results.
  • Maribor are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Maribor Clean Sheet 17%
Koper Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Koper
Matches Played 25 28
Wins 7 18
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:2
May 18, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 39 / 100
Koper 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Koper

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Maribor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Koper's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Koper
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1
Charlton
04 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1
Zeleznicar Pancevo
Page 1 of 5

Koper

(Away)
30 Jul
Koper
1 : 4
NSI Runavik
26 Jul
Koper
2 : 2
Radomlje
23 Jul
NSI Runavik
0 : 2
Koper
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
MTK Budapest
1 : 3
Koper
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Maribor 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Koper 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
4 Mura 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
5 Grosuplje 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
6 Bravo 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
7 Celje 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 Aluminij 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Radomlje 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
10 O. Ljubljana 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)