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Maribor vs Koper - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Repas Z.
Assist: Bumbic C.
46'
Sub
Tomek F. In: El Manssouri O.
Out: Tomek F.
46'
Sub
Manseri K. In: Ruedl A.
Out: Manseri K.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga game between Maribor and Koper finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maribor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Maribor
30%
Draws
40%
Koper
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Koper

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Maribor haven't matched Koper's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%
Koper Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Koper
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 19
Draws 13 3
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:0
Apr 14, 2026 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Prva liga
Koper vs Maribor
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs Koper
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Repas Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tshipamba I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Koper Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 31 / 100
Koper 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Koper

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maribor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Maribor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Koper's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Koper
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

Koper

(Away)
03 Oct
Koper
2 : 1
Vicenza
02 Oct
Koper
1 : 0
Orijent
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
06 Sept
Celje
0 : 1
Koper
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)