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Maribor vs O. Ljubljana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maribor host O. Ljubljana in the Prva liga. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Maribor at 1.5 goals for, 1.14 against; O. Ljubljana at 1.26 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor O. Ljubljana slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring O. Ljubljana. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Maribor
35%
Draws
34%
O. Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to O. Ljubljana lately — more wins on the board than Maribor.
  • Maribor are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor O. Ljubljana
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 11
Draws 13 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor
1:1
May 9, 2026 Prva liga
Maribor vs O. Ljubljana
0:3
Mar 8, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Prva liga
Maribor vs O. Ljubljana
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Maribor
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 36 / 100
O. Ljubljana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor O. Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maribor scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Maribor has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

O. Ljubljana has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS O. Ljubljana
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
28 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
HNK Gorica
19 Sept
Maribor
2 : 2
Aluminij
13 Sept
Radomlje
0 : 3
Maribor
06 Sept
Maribor
1 : 1
Mura
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
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O. Ljubljana

(Away)
01 Oct
O. Ljubljana
2 : 1
Slaven Belupo
20 Sept
Bravo
2 : 1
O. Ljubljana
12 Sept
Koper
1 : 3
O. Ljubljana
05 Sept
O. Ljubljana
3 : 0
Grosuplje
29 Aug
Radomlje
0 : 0
O. Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 10 5 5 0 19:8 20
2 Koper 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Bravo 10 5 3 2 12:10 18
4 O. Ljubljana 10 4 2 4 10:8 14
5 Aluminij 10 3 4 3 16:11 13
6 Nafta 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
7 Celje 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
8 Grosuplje 10 3 2 5 14:18 11
9 Mura 10 2 3 5 10:21 9
10 Radomlje 9 1 2 6 9:18 5
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)