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Stadium Background

Maribor vs Paks

Europe Europe

Conference League 2025/2026 Ljudski vrt, Maribor
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Tshipamba I.
Assist: Taylor E.
46'
Sub
Sirvys P. In: Spanring M.
Out: Sirvys P.
46'
Sub
Tshipamba I. In: Ojo S.
Out: Tshipamba I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Maribor
35%
Draws
23%
Paks
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maribor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paks come out ahead of Maribor on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Maribor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Paks arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Maribor Clean Sheet 20%
Paks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maribor Paks
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.46 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 1.09
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2025 Conference League
Maribor vs Paks
1:1
Jul 24, 2025 Conference League
Paks vs Maribor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maribor Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshipamba I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Paks Compare

Top Goalscorer Papp K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maribor 85 / 100
Paks 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maribor Paks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maribor scored in 81% of their last 26 outings.

Paks has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Maribor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Maribor VS Paks
1.14 Goals Scored 1.75
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 75%
14% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Maribor

(Home)
09 Aug
Maribor
2 : 0
Koper
04 Aug
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
1 : 1
Maribor
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
25 Jul
Maribor
3 : 0
Grosuplje
19 Jul
Aluminij
0 : 0
Maribor
Page 1 of 6

Paks

(Away)
09 Aug
Paks
2 : 2
Honved
03 Aug
Zalaegerszegi
5 : 2
Paks
30 Jul
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
Paks
26 Jul
Paks
4 : 2
Ferencvaros
23 Jul
Paks
1 : 2
Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalgiris -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buducnost -
TBD -
TBD -
Milsami -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Virtus -
Drita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Differdange -
Levadia -
TBD -
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
O. Ljubljana -
TBD -
TBD -
Inter Escaldes -
Din. Minsk -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia 4
BFC Daugavpils 3
Malisheva 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 9
HB Torshavn -
TBD -
TBD -
Brondby -
Silkeborg -
TBD -
TBD -
KA Akureyri -
Novi Pazar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jagiellonia -
Zira FK -
TBD -
TBD -
Hajduk Split -
Atletic Escaldes 5
Dudelange 2
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Shakhtar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Anderlecht -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Aris Limassol -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
AEK -
TBD -
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Viking -
TBD -
Zeljeznicar 2
Koper 4
Cherno More -
TBD -
TBD -
Basaksehir -
FK Sarajevo -
TBD -
TBD -
Univ. Craiova -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartak Trnava -
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Celje -
Ostrava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Austria Vienna -
TBD -
TBD -
Spaeri -
Rakow Czestochowa -
TBD -
TBD -
Zilina -
Zhodino 4
Rabotnicki 0
TBD -
Maccabi Haifa -
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Penybont 1
Valur 5
Flora 1
Arda -
TBD -
NSI Runavik 4
HJK 5
Oleksandriya -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Levski Sofia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Birkirkara 1
Petrocub Hincesti 3
TBD -
Sabah Baku -
Ilves -
TBD -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar -
Vaduz -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Polissya Zhytomyr -
TBD -
Borac Banja Luka 3
FC Santa Coloma 4
Paks -
TBD -
TBD -
Maribor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina -
AIK -
TBD -
Magpies 3
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Tre Fiori 1
Pyunik Yerevan 5
TBD -
Gyor -
Decic 3
Sileks 2
TBD -
Rapid Vienna -
Dundee Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
UNA Strassen -
Radnicki 1923 -
TBD -
SJK 1
Klaksvik 4
FC Kosice -
TBD -
Urartu 1
Neman 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
La Fiorita 2
Vardar 5
TBD -
Lausanne -
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
TBD -
FC Astana -
St. Patricks 3
FC Hegelmann 0
Kalju 2
Partizani 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besiktas -
Larne 3
FK Auda Riga 2
TBD -
Prishtina -
Varazdin -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
FC Ballkani -
TBD -
Floriana 5
Haverfordwest 3
St Josephs 5
Cliftonville 4
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Rosenborg -
TBD -
TBD -
Banga -
Hammarby -
TBD -
TBD -
Charleroi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mainz -
Aktobe -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Ararat-Armenia -
TBD -
TBD -
Universitatea Cluj -
Riga FC -
TBD -
Racing Luxembourg 1
Dila Gori 3
Sutjeska 3
Dynamo Brest 2
TBD -
Beitar Jerusalem -
Hacken -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
Wolfsberger AC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Araz PFK -
TBD -
TBD -
Aris -
Omonia -
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi 5
Ordabasy 4
Quarter-finals
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur -
TBD -
Zalgiris 0
Linfield 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buducnost 1
Milsami 2
TBD -
Virtus -
Drita -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS 0
Differdange 2
Levadia 3
Iberia 1999 2
O. Ljubljana 5
Inter Escaldes 3
Din. Minsk 0
KF Egnatia 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Noah -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia 4
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
HB Torshavn 1
Brondby 2
Silkeborg 4
KA Akureyri 3
Novi Pazar 2
Jagiellonia 5
Zira FK 2
Hajduk Split 3
Atletic Escaldes 2
Dinamo City 3
Shakhtar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Anderlecht -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
Aris Limassol 5
Puskas Academy 2
AEK 1
H. Beer Sheva 0
Viking 12
Koper 3
Cherno More 0
Basaksehir 5
FK Sarajevo 2
Univ. Craiova 5
Hibernians 2
Spartak Trnava 7
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Lugano -
TBD -
TBD -
Celje -
Ostrava -
TBD -
Austria Vienna 7
Spaeri 0
Rakow Czestochowa 6
Zilina 1
Zhodino 1
Maccabi Haifa 4
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Valur 2
Arda 3
HJK 2
Oleksandriya 0
Partizan 6
TBD -
Hibernian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Legia -
Levski Sofia -
TBD -
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sabah Baku 6
Ilves 4
AZ Alkmaar 8
Vaduz 3
Dungannon 1
Polissya Zhytomyr 5
FC Santa Coloma 3
Paks 2
Maribor 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentina -
AIK 8
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Pyunik Yerevan 3
Gyor 4
Decic 2
Rapid Vienna 6
Dundee Utd 2
UNA Strassen 0
Radnicki 1923 0
Klaksvik 1
FC Kosice 3
Neman 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Vardar 2
Lausanne 6
Zimbru Chisinau 1
FC Astana 3
St. Patricks 3
Kalju 2
TBD -
Besiktas -
Larne 2
Prishtina 1
Varazdin 2
Santa Clara 3
FC Ballkani 5
Floriana 3
St Josephs 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Rosenborg 7
Banga 0
Hammarby 2
Charleroi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mainz -
Aktobe 2
Sparta Prague 5
Ararat-Armenia 2
Universitatea Cluj 1
Riga FC 5
Dila Gori 4
Sutjeska 3
Beitar Jerusalem 7
Hacken -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
Wolfsberger AC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Araz PFK 4
Aris 3
Omonia 5
Torpedo Kutaisi 0
Semi-finals
Hamrun -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
Vikingur 2
Linfield 3
Breidablik -
TBD -
Milsami 3
Virtus 5
Drita -
TBD -
Differdange 5
Levadia 4
O. Ljubljana 4
KF Egnatia 2
TBD -
Noah -
Strasbourg -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Brondby 4
Silkeborg 2
Jagiellonia 3
Hajduk Split 3
Dinamo City 4
Shakhtar -
TBD -
TBD -
Servette -
Anderlecht 4
Sheriff Tiraspol 1
Aris Limassol 3
AEK 5
Viking 2
Basaksehir 4
Univ. Craiova 6
Spartak Trnava 4
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
Fredrikstad -
Lugano 4
Celje 7
Ostrava 5
Austria Vienna 4
Rakow Czestochowa 2
Maccabi Haifa 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Arda 3
Partizan 3
Hibernian 4
TBD -
Legia -
Levski Sofia 3
Sabah Baku 0
AZ Alkmaar 4
Vaduz 0
Polissya Zhytomyr 4
Paks 2
TBD -
Fiorentina -
AIK 2
Gyor 3
Rapid Vienna 5
Dundee Utd 4
Klaksvik 2
Neman 3
TBD -
Rayo Vallecano -
Lausanne 5
FC Astana 1
St. Patricks 3
Besiktas 7
Larne 0
Santa Clara 3
FC Ballkani 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Rosenborg 1
Hammarby 0
TBD -
Mainz -
Sparta Prague 6
Ararat-Armenia 2
Riga FC 4
Beitar Jerusalem 3
Hacken -
TBD -
TBD -
CFR Cluj -
Wolfsberger AC -
TBD -
Araz PFK 0
Omonia 9
Final
Hamrun 3
RFS 2
Shelbourne 5
Linfield 1
Breidablik 5
Virtus 2
Drita 3
Differdange 1
O. Ljubljana 3
Noah 7
Strasbourg 3
Brondby 2
Jagiellonia 4
Dinamo City 1
Shakhtar 3
Servette 2
Anderlecht 1
AEK 3
Basaksehir 2
Univ. Craiova 5
Crystal Palace 1
Fredrikstad 0
Celje 3
Ostrava 0
Rakow Czestochowa 3
Arda 1
Hibernian 4
Legia 5
Levski Sofia 1
AZ Alkmaar 6
Polissya Zhytomyr 2
Fiorentina 6
Gyor 2
Rapid Vienna 3
Neman 0
Rayo Vallecano 5
Lausanne 2
Besiktas 1
Santa Clara 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Rosenborg 3
Mainz 5
Sparta Prague 2
Riga FC 1
Hacken 7
CFR Cluj 3
Wolfsberger AC 2
Omonia 3