Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D 2025

Marica

1 - 0

Boavista

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Gutemberg

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D 2025 game between Marica and Boavista finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Marica

22%

Draws

18%

Boavista

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Marica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Marica come out ahead of Boavista on wins alone.
Marica are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Regular Serie D 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Marica here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 25%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%

Marica Clean Sheet 68%

Boavista Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marica	Boavista
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	12	5
Draws	7	8
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1	0.5
Goals Conceded	0.88	0
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Serie D

Marica vs Boavista

Possession: 58% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

May 10, 2025 Serie D

Boavista vs Marica

Possession: 43% - 51% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Jan 15, 2025 Carioca

Marica vs Boavista

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marica Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutemberg

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Boavista Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45

Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marica 68 / 100

Boavista 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marica Boavista

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marica's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Boavista's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: Marica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marica VS Boavista

1 Goals Scored 0.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 0

50% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tuna Luso	14	8	3	3	24:10	27
2	Manauara	14	7	5	2	27:11	26
3	Manaus FC	14	6	5	3	21:17	23
4	Independencia Futebol Clube	14	6	3	5	18:19	21
5	Aguia De Maraba	14	5	5	4	22:14	20
6	Trem	14	5	3	6	23:24	18
7	Gremio Atletico Sampaio	14	4	3	7	17:24	15
8	SC Humaita	14	1	1	12	12:45	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AE Altos	14	7	5	2	22:14	26
2	Imperatriz	14	7	3	4	17:15	24
3	Sampaio Correa	14	5	6	3	17:11	21
4	Maranhao	14	4	7	3	18:12	19
5	Iguatu	14	5	3	6	15:15	18
6	Tocantinopolis	14	3	6	5	11:17	15
7	Parnahyba	14	3	5	6	16:22	14
8	Maracana	14	3	3	8	12:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	America RN	14	8	3	3	21:9	27
2	Santa Cruz	14	8	3	3	20:10	27
3	Central SC	14	7	5	2	15:7	26
4	Ferroviario	14	5	3	6	15:19	18
5	Horizonte	14	5	2	7	14:17	17
6	Santa Cruz de Natal	14	5	2	7	13:20	17
7	Treze PB	14	4	1	9	7:20	13
8	Sousa	14	3	3	8	11:14	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	ASA	14	9	4	1	27:8	31
2	Lagarto	14	7	2	5	20:16	23
3	Sergipe	14	6	4	4	16:10	22
4	Juazeirense	14	6	4	4	12:15	22
5	Uniao Carmolandense	14	5	4	5	14:16	19
6	Jequie	14	4	4	6	15:16	16
7	Barcelona FC	14	2	5	7	9:20	11
8	SC Penedense	14	1	5	8	5:17	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aparecidense	14	10	2	2	32:12	32
2	Ceilandia	14	8	4	2	23:14	28
3	Luverdense	14	7	4	3	14:12	25
4	Mixto	14	6	6	2	22:13	24
5	Capital	14	4	5	5	14:12	17
6	Goiania	14	2	4	8	12:22	10
7	Goianesia	14	1	5	8	11:22	8
8	Porto Velho	14	1	4	9	9:30	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portuguesa	14	9	3	2	22:13	30
2	Rio Branco ES	14	8	2	4	19:9	26
3	Agua Santa	14	6	3	5	20:18	21
4	Marica	14	5	4	5	14:14	19
5	Pouso Alegre	14	5	2	7	13:18	17
6	Porto Vitoria	14	4	5	5	14:13	17
7	Nova Iguacu	14	3	6	5	13:16	15
8	Boavista	14	2	3	9	9:23	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional de Limeira	14	9	3	2	21:7	30
2	Cianorte	14	6	4	4	22:17	22
3	Goiatuba EC	14	6	4	4	21:16	22
4	FC Cascavel	14	5	6	3	15:15	21
5	Uberlandia	14	4	4	6	21:20	16
6	Monte Azul	14	3	5	6	13:18	14
7	Operario MS	14	3	5	6	13:22	14
8	Itabirito	14	1	7	6	11:22	10

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barra FC (Santa Catarina)	14	8	2	4	20:10	26
2	EC Sao Jose (PA)	14	7	5	2	21:11	26
3	Joinville	14	6	3	5	11:11	21
4	Marcilio Dias	14	5	6	3	17:15	21
5	Guarany de Bage	14	5	4	5	11:14	19
6	Brasil de Pelotas	14	5	1	8	11:12	16
7	Sao Luiz	14	4	1	9	10:20	13
8	Azuriz	14	3	4	7	6:14	13