Sport Picks
Match Events
69'
69'
Marcelo
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boavista
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Boavista haven't matched Marica's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Boavista's way, sitting at 50%.
- Marica have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Marica, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Marica Clean Sheet 21%
Boavista Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marica | Boavista |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.09 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Copa Rio
Boavista vs Marica
3:0
Aug 5, 2026 Copa Rio
Marica vs Boavista
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
Marica vs Boavista
1:0
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Boavista vs Marica
2:1
Jan 15, 2025 Carioca
Marica vs Boavista
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marica Compare
Top Goalscorer Marcelo
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32
Boavista Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marica 24 / 100
Boavista 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marica Boavista
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boavista Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Marica scored in 74% of their last 34 outings.
Boavista has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Marica has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Marica VS Boavista
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marica
(Home) 12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0 Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0 Marica
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05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0 Perolas Negras
18 Jul
Marica
1 : 1 Resende
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0 Perolas Negras
20 Jun
Marica
1 : 0 Audax RJ
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Boavista
(Away) 26 Sept
Boavista
2 : 0 Nova Iguacu
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
26 Aug
Boavista
2 : 0 Madureira
12 Aug
Boavista
3 : 0 Marica
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nova Iguacu
1 : 1 Boavista
02 Sept
Madureira
0 : 0 Boavista
05 Aug
Marica
1 : 0 Boavista
15 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
0 : 1 Boavista
28 Feb
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0 Boavista
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Americano 2
Macae 1
TBD -
Portuguesa RJ -
Cabofriense 1
Bonsucesso 3
TBD -
Madureira -
Perolas Negras 10
Santa Cruz RJ 1
TBD -
Marica -
CEAC/Araruama 2
Sao Cristovao 1
TBD -
Boavista -
Olaria 6
Duque de Caxias 0
TBD -
Bangu -
America RJ -
Goytacaz -
TBD -
Nova Iguacu -
Sao Goncalo 3
Serrano FC 2
TBD -
Volta Redonda -
Resende 11
Belford Roxo 2
TBD -
Sampaio Correa FE -
1/8-finals
Americano 1
Portuguesa RJ 2
Bonsucesso 3
Madureira 4
Perolas Negras 0
Marica 3
CEAC/Araruama 0
Boavista 5
Olaria 3
Bangu 1
America RJ 1
Nova Iguacu 2
Sao Goncalo 2
Volta Redonda 1
Resende 0
Sampaio Correa FE 3
Quarter-finals
Portuguesa RJ 1
Madureira 2
Marica 1
Boavista 3
Olaria 0
Nova Iguacu 1
Sao Goncalo 0
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Semi-finals
Madureira 0
Boavista 2
Nova Iguacu 3
Sampaio Correa FE 2
Final
Boavista 3
Nova Iguacu 1
Madureira 1
Sampaio Correa FE 3
