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Mariehamn vs Ekenas IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mariehamn in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mariehamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Mariehamn
30%
Draws
18%
Ekenas IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mariehamn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Ekenas IF have won more games recently than Mariehamn.
  • Model gives Mariehamn a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mariehamn here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Mariehamn Clean Sheet 20%
Ekenas IF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariehamn Ekenas IF
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.1 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Mariehamn vs Ekenas IF
3:2
Mar 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Mariehamn vs Ekenas IF
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs Ekenas IF
3:0
Jun 19, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Ekenas IF vs Mariehamn
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Veikkausliiga
Mariehamn vs Ekenas IF
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariehamn 76 / 100
Ekenas IF 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariehamn Ekenas IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mariehamn Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Ekenas IF let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Mariehamn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mariehamn found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Mariehamn VS Ekenas IF
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariehamn

(Home)
18 Sept
SJK
2 : 1
Mariehamn
12 Sept
Mariehamn
1 : 0
TPS
08 Sept
Lahti
2 : 1
Mariehamn
31 Aug
Mariehamn
2 : 0
Jaro
23 Aug
KuPS
2 : 4
Mariehamn
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Ekenas IF

(Away)
26 Sept
Ekenas IF
1 : 1
SJK Akatemia
18 Sept
JaPS
1 : 0
Ekenas IF
12 Sept
Ekenas IF
2 : 2
Haka
04 Sept
PK-35
0 : 0
Ekenas IF
29 Aug
Ekenas IF
0 : 2
Jippo
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