Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Mariehamn host Jaro in the Veikkausliiga. This one's hard to separate. Mariehamn have averaged 1.04 scored and 1.71 conceded recently, against Jaro's 1.23 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Mariehamn have won 1 to Jaro's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.88, favoring Jaro. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Jaro have won more games recently than Mariehamn.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mariehamn | Jaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Jaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Jaro lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Mariehamn's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Mariehamn
(Home)Jaro
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 36:18 | 43 |
| 2 | Inter Turku | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28:16 | 38 |
| 3 | HJK | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:23 | 34 |
| 4 | Gnistan | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32:26 | 32 |
| 5 | VPS | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 28:21 | 30 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 24:25 | 30 |
| 7 | TPS | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Lahti | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 9 | Ilves | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:34 | 25 |
| 10 | SJK | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24:31 | 18 |
| 11 | Jaro | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 18:41 | 15 |
| 12 | Mariehamn | 20 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11:41 | 8 |
