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Marienburg vs FK Dobele - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2013/2014
Marienburg Logo

Marienburg

1 - 3
FT
FK Dobele Logo

FK Dobele

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
44' Event
50' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with FK Dobele advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Marienburg
15%
Draws
85%
FK Dobele
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Dobele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Dobele come out ahead of Marienburg on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marienburg a 0% chance of winning this.
  • FK Dobele arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Dobele, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marienburg Clean Sheet 10%
FK Dobele Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienburg FK Dobele
Matches Played 3 8
Wins 0 3
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 5
Goals Scored 0.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 3.67 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2013 Latvian Cup
Marienburg vs FK Dobele
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienburg 56 / 100
FK Dobele 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienburg FK Dobele

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marienburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Dobele conceded in 88% of 8 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

FK Dobele lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Marienburg scored in 50% of their last 2 outings.

Scoring Trends

Marienburg VS FK Dobele
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
3.67 Goals Conceded 2.88
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienburg

(Home)
07 Jul
Rezekne
:
Marienburg
19 Jun
Bebri
8 : 0
Marienburg
22 Jun
Marienburg
1 : 3
FK Dobele

FK Dobele

(Away)
02 Jul
FK Dobele
2 : 6
Bebri
05 Jun
FK Limbazi
2 : 3
FK Dobele
13 Jul
Alberts JDFS
8 : 1
FK Dobele
08 Jun
FK Dobele
1 : 0
FK Alberts
08 Jun
FK Dobele
0 : 2
Caramba
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Jelgava -
TBD -
TBD -
Rinuzi -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK 1625 Liepaja -
TBD -
Riga United 0
FK Olaine 4
Dinamo Riga 2
Kuldigas NSS 0
TBD -
Gulbene -
FC Jurmala -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Jekabpils SC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tukums 2000 -
Spartaks Jurmala -
TBD -
Marienburg 1
FK Dobele 3
Preilu BJSS 3
FK Smiltene 1
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Skonto -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Alberts -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
RFS -
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
FK Carnikava 3
Lerona Rita 6
Grobina 2
Ozolnieki 0
TBD -
FK Daugava Riga -
Ventspils -
TBD -
TBD -
Saldus -
DSVK Traktors -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Ilukste -
Alberts JDFS 2
Plavinas 1
TBD -
Vilki/Marupe -
Upesciems 2
Kalupe 0
TBD -
FC Daugava Daugavpils -
1/16-finals
Jelgava 6
Rinuzi 1
FK Auda Riga 0
Valmiera 2
FK 1625 Liepaja 1
FK Olaine 0
Dinamo Riga 1
Gulbene 4
FC Jurmala 1
Rezekne 0
Jekabpils SC 0
Tukums 2000 1
Spartaks Jurmala 3
FK Dobele 0
Preilu BJSS 2
FK Liepaja 11
Skonto 8
FK Alberts 1
FK Metta 0
RFS 1
BFC Daugavpils 5
Lerona Rita 3
Grobina 0
FK Daugava Riga 8
Ventspils 6
Saldus 0
DSVK Traktors 0
FK Ilukste 8
Alberts JDFS 3
Vilki/Marupe 0
Upesciems 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
1/8-finals
Jelgava 3
Valmiera 1
FK 1625 Liepaja 2
Gulbene 3
FC Jurmala 5
Tukums 2000 0
Spartaks Jurmala 2
FK Liepaja 4
Skonto 5
RFS 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Daugava Riga 3
Ventspils 3
FK Ilukste 0
Alberts JDFS 0
FC Daugava Daugavpils 4
Quarter-finals
Jelgava 2
Gulbene 0
FC Jurmala 1
FK Liepaja 2
Skonto 2
FK Daugava Riga 1
Ventspils 1
FC Daugava Daugavpils 2
Semi-finals
Jelgava 1
FK Liepaja 0
Skonto 4
FC Daugava Daugavpils 0
Final
Jelgava 1
Skonto 0