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Mariendorf vs BFC Preussen

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Brehmer S.
19' Event
Yorguner Y.
19' Event
Gawe C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Mariendorf and BFC Preussen finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward BFC Preussen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mariendorf
20%
Draws
80%
BFC Preussen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFC Preussen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and BFC Preussen come out ahead of Mariendorf on wins alone.
  • Model gives BFC Preussen a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Mariendorf Clean Sheet 10%
BFC Preussen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariendorf BFC Preussen
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 0 12
Draws 0 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.83 1.73
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Mariendorf vs BFC Preussen
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mariendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Yorguner Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

BFC Preussen Compare

Top Goalscorer Brehmer S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gawe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariendorf 10 / 100
BFC Preussen 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariendorf BFC Preussen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BFC Preussen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mariendorf's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

BFC Preussen has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

BFC Preussen's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mariendorf VS BFC Preussen
2 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariendorf

(Home)
14 Jul
Sparta Lichtenberg
3 : 2
Mariendorf
02 Feb
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 3
Mariendorf
22 Jan
Mariendorf
1 : 3
TUS Makkabi
15 Jan
Mariendorf
1 : 5
BFC Preussen
09 Jul
Mahlsdorf
5 : 2
Mariendorf
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BFC Preussen

(Away)
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
15 Sept
Luckenwalde
0 : 2
BFC Preussen
12 Sept
BFC Preussen
4 : 1
Magdeburg II
29 Aug
Erfurt
1 : 1
BFC Preussen
25 Aug
BFC Dynamo
2 : 0
BFC Preussen
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