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Mariendorf vs TUS Makkabi

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Behrend P.
46' Event
Matkovic T.
59' Event
Ceesay I.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Mariendorf and TUS Makkabi finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TUS Makkabi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mariendorf
20%
Draws
80%
TUS Makkabi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TUS Makkabi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • TUS Makkabi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans TUS Makkabi's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Mariendorf Clean Sheet 10%
TUS Makkabi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariendorf TUS Makkabi
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 0 11
Draws 0 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.72
Goals Conceded 4.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Mariendorf vs TUS Makkabi
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mariendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Behrend P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

TUS Makkabi Compare

Top Goalscorer Matkovic T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ceesay I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariendorf 22 / 100
TUS Makkabi 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariendorf TUS Makkabi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUS Makkabi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mariendorf scored in 100% of their last 6 outings.

TUS Makkabi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

TUS Makkabi lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mariendorf VS TUS Makkabi
2 Goals Scored 1.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariendorf

(Home)
14 Jul
Sparta Lichtenberg
3 : 2
Mariendorf
02 Feb
Sparta Lichtenberg
4 : 3
Mariendorf
22 Jan
Mariendorf
1 : 3
TUS Makkabi
15 Jan
Mariendorf
1 : 5
BFC Preussen
09 Jul
Mahlsdorf
5 : 2
Mariendorf
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TUS Makkabi

(Away)
27 Sept
TUS Makkabi
1 : 1
Siedenbollentin
19 Sept
Lichtenberg
2 : 0
TUS Makkabi
29 Aug
Wismar
1 : 2
TUS Makkabi
16 Aug
TUS Makkabi
0 : 0
TB Berlin
08 Aug
FSV Schwerin
2 : 1
TUS Makkabi
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