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Marienlyst vs Naesby

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2023 game between Marienlyst and Naesby finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Naesby.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marienlyst
20%
Draws
40%
Naesby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Marienlyst haven't matched Naesby's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Naesby here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 10%
Naesby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Naesby
Matches Played 28 42
Wins 13 25
Draws 1 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.68 2.57
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
5:3
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Naesby vs Marienlyst
6:2
Feb 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Naesby
3:4
Feb 7, 2023 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Naesby
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 30 / 100
Naesby 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Naesby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Marienlyst scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Naesby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 42 matches.

Away concern: Naesby has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS Naesby
3 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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Naesby

(Away)
19 Sept
Naesby
1 : 1
Helsingor
16 Sept
Naesby
2 : 3
Horsens
13 Sept
ASA Aarhus
1 : 0
Naesby
05 Sept
Naesby
4 : 3
Horsholm-Usserod
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
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