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Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup

World World

Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
23' Event
33' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2020 game between Marienlyst and Tarup-Paarup finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marienlyst.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Marienlyst
20%
Draws
16%
Tarup-Paarup
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marienlyst

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marienlyst come out ahead of Tarup-Paarup on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Marienlyst's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Marienlyst here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Marienlyst Clean Sheet 20%
Tarup-Paarup Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marienlyst Tarup-Paarup
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.87 1.3
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
Tarup-Paarup vs Marienlyst
3:0
Aug 4, 2020 Club Friendly
Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup
4:2
May 22, 2019 2nd Division - Group 1
Marienlyst vs Tarup-Paarup
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marienlyst 85 / 100
Tarup-Paarup 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marienlyst Tarup-Paarup

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marienlyst Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marienlyst scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Tarup-Paarup has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Tarup-Paarup has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marienlyst VS Tarup-Paarup
0.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.71
25% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Marienlyst

(Home)
26 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 3
VSK Aarhus
05 Aug
Hedensted
0 : 5
Marienlyst
28 Feb
Naesby
2 : 2
Marienlyst
06 Aug
Marienlyst
1 : 2
Esbjerg
22 Feb
Naesby
5 : 3
Marienlyst
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Tarup-Paarup

(Away)
05 Aug
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 3
Vejle
21 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
0 : 6
Naesby
06 Aug
Morud
3 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
30 Jul
Naesby
5 : 2
Tarup-Paarup
24 Feb
Tarup-Paarup
1 : 1
Naesby
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