Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mariglianese vs Bisceglie

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Izco R.

AI Match Summary

Bisceglie in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bisceglie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Mariglianese
15%
Draws
64%
Bisceglie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bisceglie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bisceglie have won more games recently than Mariglianese.
  • Bisceglie are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mariglianese Clean Sheet 17%
Bisceglie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mariglianese Bisceglie
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.76 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Mariglianese vs Bisceglie
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Mariglianese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mariglianese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Bisceglie Compare

Top Goalscorer Izco R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mariglianese 15 / 100
Bisceglie 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mariglianese Bisceglie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bisceglie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bisceglie has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Mariglianese scored in 55% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mariglianese stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mariglianese VS Bisceglie
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mariglianese

(Home)
06 May
Santa Maria Cilento
2 : 1
Mariglianese
30 Apr
Mariglianese
0 : 1
Real Normanna
23 Apr
Sancataldese
3 : 0
Mariglianese
16 Apr
Mariglianese
0 : 1
AS Acireale
06 Apr
Lamezia Terme
0 : 1
Mariglianese
Page 1 of 7

Bisceglie

(Away)
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)