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Marijampole City vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2016 game between Marijampole City and Lokomotyvas Radviliskis finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marijampole City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Marijampole City
6%
Draws
90%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Marijampole City come out ahead of Lokomotyvas Radviliskis on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lokomotyvas Radviliskis a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Marijampole City have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Marijampole City Clean Sheet 12%
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marijampole City Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2016 I Lyga
Marijampole City vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
7:0
Jun 23, 2016 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Marijampole City
2:6
Sep 19, 2015 I Lyga
Marijampole City vs Lokomotyvas Radviliskis
5:0
Jun 2, 2015 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Marijampole City
1:3
Aug 1, 2014 I Lyga
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis vs Marijampole City
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marijampole City 10 / 100
Lokomotyvas Radviliskis 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marijampole City Lokomotyvas Radviliskis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 5.60 goals as a typical output.

Marijampole City scored in 56% of their last 32 games.

Lokomotyvas Radviliskis's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Marijampole City VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marijampole City30233495:2572
2Palanga30217296:2970
3Vilniaus Vytis301938102:3460
4Nevezis Kedainiai30179476:3860
5FK Panevezys30178568:3559
6Banga30157862:3152
7Dziugas Telsiai301531251:4448
8Zalgiris 2301431362:6145
9Dainava Alytus301341357:4643
10FC Hegelmann301331455:5642
11Riteriai 230931844:5930
12Silute30861638:6030
13FK Krazante Kelme30841847:8628
14Lokomotyvas Radviliskis30651942:8623
15FBK Kaunas30412525:13413
16FK Minija30312627:12310