Sport Picks

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Marilia vs Linense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Guilherme Cafe
Own Goal
90'
Derick
90'
Derick

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Marilia
20%
Draws
73%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Marilia have won more games recently than Linense.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Linense taking it.
  • Marilia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Linense, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Linense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marilia Clean Sheet 16%
Linense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marilia Linense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Copa Paulista
Marilia vs Linense
0:1
Jul 26, 2026 Copa Paulista
Linense vs Marilia
3:1
May 25, 2021 Paulista A3
Linense vs Marilia
0:1
Jan 25, 2020 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Linense
0:1
Feb 17, 2010 Paulista A2
Linense vs Marilia
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia 10 / 100
Linense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marilia Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marilia scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Linense let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Marilia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marilia VS Linense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marilia

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
Page 1 of 6

Linense

(Away)
20 Sept
Linense
1 : 2
Gremio Prudente
15 Sept
Gremio Prudente
2 : 2
Linense
22 Aug
Linense
2 : 0
Bandeirante
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
09 Aug
Linense
5 : 2
Gremio Prudente
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
2 Bandeirante 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
3 Gremio Prudente 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Marilia 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
2 Uniao Sao Joao 6 1 5 0 6:5 8
3 Comercial 6 2 1 3 8:7 7
4 Piracicaba 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus-SP 6 3 1 2 11:5 10
2 Primavera EC 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Paulista 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
4 Osasco Sporting 6 1 1 4 4:11 4
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 EC Sao Bernardo 6 3 0 3 12:8 9
3 Sao Caetano 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
4 Santo Andre 6 3 1 2 4:5 0
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Paulista (Play Offs)