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Marilia vs Olimpia FC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2020
Marilia Logo

Marilia

1 - 1
FT
Olimpia FC Logo

Olimpia FC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Marilia
15%
Draws
0%
Olimpia FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Marilia have won more games recently than Olimpia FC.
  • Model gives Marilia a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Marilia Clean Sheet 20%
Olimpia FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marilia Olimpia FC
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 2
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.33 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2022 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Olimpia FC
2:1
Apr 30, 2021 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Marilia
1:3
Feb 21, 2020 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Olimpia FC
1:1
Jan 21, 2018 Paulista A3
Olimpia FC vs Marilia
2:0
Mar 4, 2017 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Olimpia FC
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia 85 / 100
Olimpia FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marilia Olimpia FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marilia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olimpia FC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Olimpia FC lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Marilia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Marilia VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marilia

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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Olimpia FC

(Away)
21 Jun
Tanabi
5 : 0
Olimpia FC
15 Jun
Olimpia FC
1 : 4
Tupa
08 Jun
Santacruzense
4 : 1
Olimpia FC
25 May
Olimpia FC
1 : 2
Assisense
18 May
Olimpia FC
0 : 3
Tanabi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Noroeste 15 11 2 2 25:9 35
2 EC Sao Bernardo 15 9 3 3 22:9 30
3 Comercial 15 8 4 3 25:16 28
4 Capivariano 15 7 4 4 21:15 25
5 Velo Clube 15 7 4 4 18:12 25
6 Linense 15 6 5 4 21:19 23
7 Batatais 15 5 7 3 13:14 22
8 Nacional SP 15 5 6 4 17:16 21
9 Desportivo 15 5 3 7 20:20 18
10 Marilia 15 4 6 5 16:15 18
11 Rio Preto EC 15 4 4 7 15:19 16
12 Olimpia FC 15 4 4 7 17:23 16
13 Primavera EC 15 4 3 8 13:20 15
14 Barretos EC 15 3 4 8 15:26 13
15 GE Osasco 15 3 3 9 12:23 12
16 Paulista 15 3 2 10 12:26 11
Promotion - Paulista A3 2020 (Play Offs)