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Marilia vs Paulista

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 Estadio Bento de Abreu, Sao Paulo
Marilia Logo

Marilia

0 - 0
FT
Paulista Logo

Paulista

Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Silvestre Elias M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A3 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Marilia
20%
Draws
70%
Paulista
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paulista

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Marilia lately — more wins on the board than Paulista.
  • Marilia are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Marilia Clean Sheet 20%
Paulista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marilia Paulista
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Paulista
0:0
Feb 29, 2020 Paulista A3
Paulista vs Marilia
0:2
Nov 2, 2019 Paulista A4
Paulista vs Marilia
3:3
Oct 26, 2019 Paulista A4
Marilia vs Paulista
0:0
Mar 29, 2017 Paulista A3
Marilia vs Paulista
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia 42 / 100
Paulista 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marilia Paulista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Marilia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Paulista let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Marilia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marilia VS Paulista
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marilia

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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Paulista

(Away)
07 Sept
Paulista
2 : 3
Gremio Prudente
31 Aug
Gremio Prudente
4 : 0
Paulista
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
15 Aug
Paulista
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
09 Aug
Osasco Sporting
1 : 1
Paulista
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 15 12 0 3 26:9 36
2 Marilia 15 9 5 1 23:6 32
3 Rio Preto EC 15 8 5 2 24:13 29
4 XV de Jau 15 8 3 4 16:11 27
5 Rio Claro 15 7 4 4 19:16 25
6 Uniao Barbarense 15 6 6 3 16:14 24
7 EC Sao Bernardo 15 6 5 4 22:15 23
8 Paulista 15 6 5 4 20:13 23
9 Uniao Sao Joao 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
10 Catanduva FC 15 5 6 4 16:15 21
11 Bandeirante 15 4 6 5 15:19 18
12 Rio Branco SP 15 4 4 7 13:24 16
13 Francana 15 3 1 11 13:22 10
14 Itapirense 15 2 3 10 14:26 9
15 Desportivo 15 1 5 9 8:25 8
16 Uniao Suzano 15 1 2 12 10:28 5
Promotion - Paulista A3 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista A4 2027 (Main)