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Marilia vs Santacruzense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Marilia Logo

Marilia

1 - 1
FT
Santacruzense Logo

Santacruzense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Marilia
30%
Draws
58%
Santacruzense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santacruzense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Marilia have won more games recently than Santacruzense.
  • Marilia are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Marilia Clean Sheet 10%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marilia Santacruzense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.3 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2019 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Marilia
0:1
May 3, 2019 Paulista A4
Marilia vs Santacruzense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia 34 / 100
Santacruzense 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marilia Santacruzense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marilia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santacruzense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Marilia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marilia VS Santacruzense
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Marilia

(Home)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
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Santacruzense

(Away)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 12 7 4 1 20:8 25
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 2 5 12:15 17
4 Tupa 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
5 Osvaldo Cruz 12 4 3 5 12:11 15
6 Bandeirante 12 3 2 7 9:17 11
7 America SP 12 2 2 8 7:15 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 12 7 3 2 29:13 24
2 Catanduva FC 12 5 5 2 19:13 20
3 Matonense 12 5 3 4 20:14 18
4 Catanduvense 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
6 Taquaritinga 12 4 3 5 17:19 15
7 Sao-Carlense 12 1 1 10 7:36 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 12 7 3 2 15:8 24
2 XV de Jau 12 7 3 2 22:9 24
3 Itapirense 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
4 Independente SP 12 6 1 5 21:11 19
5 Uniao Barbarense 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
7 Brasilis 12 1 3 8 5:25 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 AA Itarare 10 5 4 1 16:3 19
3 Assisense 10 4 4 2 11:6 16
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 9:7 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
6 Elosport 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 12 9 2 1 31:10 29
2 Sao Jose EC 12 6 5 1 22:13 23
3 Amparo SP 12 5 6 1 31:14 21
4 Jacarei FC 12 4 5 3 22:14 17
5 Uniao Mogi 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Manthiqueira 12 2 3 7 7:20 9
7 Atletico Mogi 12 0 1 11 8:45 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 12 7 2 3 20:12 23
2 Uniao Suzano 12 6 4 2 20:16 22
3 Guarulhos 12 6 3 3 15:8 21
4 Mauaense 12 5 5 2 16:8 20
5 Maua FC 12 4 4 4 10:13 16
6 Barcelona SP 12 2 4 6 11:18 10
7 Jabaquara 12 0 2 10 8:25 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)