Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista Women 2010

Rio Preto W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marilia W play Rio Preto W in the Paulista Women 2010. Rio Preto W are favorites here. Recently, Marilia W averaged 1.3 goals scored and 4 conceded. Rio Preto W averaged 2.09 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Marilia W won 0, Rio Preto W won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 20, 2011 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Marilia W and 3.31 for Rio Preto W. This points to a Rio Preto W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Marilia W

20%

Draws

64%

Rio Preto W

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rio Preto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Marilia W picked up more points recently compared to Rio Preto W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 3.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Marilia W Clean Sheet 10%

Rio Preto W Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Marilia W	Rio Preto W
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	5	15
Draws	1	10
Losses	24	7
Goals Scored	1.3	2.09
Goals Conceded	4	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	5.25	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2011 Paulista Women

Marilia W vs Rio Preto W

Possession: 55% - 41% Cards: 1 - 1

1:5

Jun 4, 2011 Paulista Women

Rio Preto W vs Marilia W

Possession: 56% - 47% Cards: 2 - 2

11:1

Jun 26, 2010 Paulista Women

Marilia W vs Rio Preto W

Possession: 41% - 50% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

May 1, 2010 Paulista Women

Rio Preto W vs Marilia W

Possession: 50% - 50% Cards: 0 - 2

14:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marilia W 16 / 100

Rio Preto W 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Marilia W Rio Preto W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Preto W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Rio Preto W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Marilia W attacking → ← attacking Rio Preto W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marilia W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rio Preto W let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Marilia W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Rio Preto W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 55

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

5.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rio Preto W	16	11	4	1	83:9	37
2	Ferroviaria W	16	11	3	2	64:10	36
3	Francana W	16	10	2	4	46:13	32
4	Botucatu W	16	10	2	4	44:12	32
5	Sao Judas Tadeu W	16	9	4	3	35:18	31
6	Marilia W	16	6	3	7	50:36	21
7	Jaguariuna W	16	2	1	13	7:96	7
8	Sao Bento W	16	2	0	14	14:79	6
9	Paulista W	16	1	1	14	9:79	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santos W	16	16	0	0	67:3	48
2	Sao Jose W	16	14	0	2	50:7	42
3	Sao Caetano W	16	10	1	5	40:23	31
4	Portuguesa W	16	9	1	6	40:20	28
5	CA Juventus W	16	8	2	6	19:23	26
6	Palmeiras W	16	4	2	10	25:35	14
7	Nacional SP W	16	3	3	10	12:46	12
8	Taboao da Serra W	16	3	0	13	15:48	9
9	Sao Bernardo W	16	0	1	15	14:77	1