Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marinaleda vs Cadiz B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marinaleda in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marinaleda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marinaleda
35%
Draws
26%
Cadiz B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Marinaleda haven't matched Cadiz B's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
Cadiz B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinaleda Cadiz B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 11
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Cadiz B
1:1
Dec 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cadiz B vs Marinaleda
1:2
Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Cadiz B
2:1
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cadiz B vs Marinaleda
4:0
Apr 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cadiz B vs Marinaleda
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 32 / 100
Cadiz B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinaleda Cadiz B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cadiz B let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marinaleda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cadiz B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinaleda

(Home)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
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Cadiz B

(Away)
15 Aug
Cadiz B
1 : 2
Betis B
10 May
Tomares UD
2 : 1
Cadiz B
03 May
Cadiz B
3 : 0
Ciudad de Lucena
26 Apr
Bollullos
2 : 2
Cadiz B
19 Apr
Cadiz B
0 : 2
Sevilla C
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)