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Marinaleda vs Linense

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Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 game between Marinaleda and Linense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinaleda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Marinaleda
35%
Draws
26%
Linense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Marinaleda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Linense come out ahead of Marinaleda on wins alone.
  • Model gives Marinaleda a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 17%
Linense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinaleda Linense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.17 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Linense
2:1
Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Marinaleda
3:0
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Linense vs Marinaleda
1:1
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Linense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinaleda 39 / 100
Linense 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinaleda Linense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marinaleda's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Marinaleda stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Linense's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Linense
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinaleda

(Home)
13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1
Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1
Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0
Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2
Cordoba B
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Linense

(Away)
10 May
Linense
2 : 0
Conil
03 May
Atletico Central
2 : 1
Linense
26 Apr
Linense
0 : 1
CD Utrera
19 Apr
Dos Hermanas
2 : 0
Linense
12 Apr
Linense
0 : 0
Cadiz B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Linense 38 22 10 6 65:32 76
2 CD San Fernando 38 21 9 8 61:33 72
3 Pozoblanco 38 20 11 7 56:33 71
4 Mairena 38 17 12 9 41:29 63
5 Algeciras 38 17 11 10 44:33 62
6 Portuense 38 17 10 11 44:40 61
7 Puerto Real CF 38 14 17 7 42:32 59
8 Sanluqueno 38 14 14 10 47:42 56
9 Sevilla C 38 12 15 11 42:40 51
10 Cordoba B 38 13 10 15 41:38 49
11 UD Los Palacios 38 12 13 13 40:44 49
12 Coria C.F. 38 12 10 16 58:60 46
13 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 38 10 14 14 41:46 44
14 Conil 38 11 10 17 44:47 43
15 Cadiz B 38 12 7 19 52:50 43
16 Marinaleda 38 11 9 18 36:53 42
17 Ayamonte 38 9 15 14 53:62 42
18 Jerez Industrial 38 13 6 19 36:58 42
19 Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF 38 8 10 20 35:60 34
20 Los Barrios 38 3 11 24 22:68 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)