Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mairena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Marinaleda average 1.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Mairena's 1.13.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Mairena taking it.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 10 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
Mairena Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marinaleda | Mairena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 25, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Mairena
2:2
Oct 9, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Marinaleda
3:0
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Mairena vs Marinaleda
1:0
Dec 19, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Mairena
1:1
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs Mairena
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marinaleda 24 / 100
Mairena 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marinaleda Mairena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mairena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Marinaleda scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Mairena let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Marinaleda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Mairena
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Marinaleda
(Home) 13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1 Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0 Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2 Cordoba B
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13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Cadiz B
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Sanluqueno
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2 Cordoba B
05 Apr
Marinaleda
0 : 3 Portuense
24 Mar
Marinaleda
1 : 0 Arcos CF
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Mairena
(Away) 17 May
Mairena
3 : 2 Cadiz B
10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0 Mairena
01 May
Mairena
3 : 0 Lebrijana
26 Apr
Mairena
5 : 1 Arcos CF
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Mairena
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10 May
Sevilla C
3 : 0 Mairena
19 Apr
CD Alcala
1 : 0 Mairena
05 Apr
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
1 : 1 Mairena
22 Mar
Coria C.F.
2 : 0 Mairena
08 Mar
PD Rociera
2 : 1 Mairena
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linense | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 65:32 | 76 |
| 2 | CD San Fernando | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 61:33 | 72 |
| 3 | Pozoblanco | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 56:33 | 71 |
| 4 | Mairena | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 41:29 | 63 |
| 5 | Algeciras | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 6 | Portuense | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 44:40 | 61 |
| 7 | Puerto Real CF | 38 | 14 | 17 | 7 | 42:32 | 59 |
| 8 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 47:42 | 56 |
| 9 | Sevilla C | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 42:40 | 51 |
| 10 | Cordoba B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:38 | 49 |
| 11 | UD Los Palacios | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 40:44 | 49 |
| 12 | Coria C.F. | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:60 | 46 |
| 13 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 41:46 | 44 |
| 14 | Conil | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 15 | Cadiz B | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 52:50 | 43 |
| 16 | Marinaleda | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:53 | 42 |
| 17 | Ayamonte | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 53:62 | 42 |
| 18 | Jerez Industrial | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 36:58 | 42 |
| 19 | Penarroya Pueblonuevo CF | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 35:60 | 34 |
| 20 | Los Barrios | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 22:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
