Sport Picks
Marinaleda vs UD Los Palacios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 game between Marinaleda and UD Los Palacios finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinaleda.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and UD Los Palacios come out ahead of Marinaleda on wins alone.
- Model gives Marinaleda a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and UD Los Palacios have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Marinaleda Clean Sheet 20%
UD Los Palacios Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marinaleda | UD Los Palacios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs UD Los Palacios
0:1
Nov 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Marinaleda
2:0
Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Marinaleda vs UD Los Palacios
2:1
Nov 15, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
UD Los Palacios vs Marinaleda
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marinaleda 42 / 100
UD Los Palacios 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marinaleda UD Los Palacios
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Marinaleda scored in 69% of their last 32 games.
UD Los Palacios let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Marinaleda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Marinaleda VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Marinaleda
(Home) 13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Cadiz B
06 May
Conil
1 : 1 Marinaleda
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Sanluqueno
22 Apr
Algeciras
1 : 0 Marinaleda
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2 Cordoba B
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13 May
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Cadiz B
29 Apr
Marinaleda
1 : 1 Sanluqueno
15 Apr
Marinaleda
3 : 2 Cordoba B
05 Apr
Marinaleda
0 : 3 Portuense
24 Mar
Marinaleda
1 : 0 Arcos CF
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UD Los Palacios
(Away) 12 May
UD Los Palacios
2 : 3 Sevilla C
06 May
Ayamonte
1 : 1 UD Los Palacios
01 May
UD Los Palacios
1 : 0 Cordoba B
24 Apr
Cadiz B
5 : 1 UD Los Palacios
17 Apr
UD Los Palacios
1 : 1 Conil
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06 May
Ayamonte
1 : 1 UD Los Palacios
24 Apr
Cadiz B
5 : 1 UD Los Palacios
10 Apr
Marinaleda
0 : 1 UD Los Palacios
27 Mar
Puerto Real CF
3 : 0 UD Los Palacios
13 Mar
Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
2 : 2 UD Los Palacios
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Alcala | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 68:21 | 80 |
| 2 | Mairena | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 54:30 | 70 |
| 3 | Ayamonte | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 63:33 | 69 |
| 4 | Marinaleda | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 52:33 | 66 |
| 5 | Linense | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:32 | 63 |
| 6 | Pozoblanco | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 44:33 | 62 |
| 7 | Los Barrios | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 42:41 | 57 |
| 8 | Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 61:47 | 56 |
| 9 | Cordoba B | 38 | 13 | 16 | 9 | 38:37 | 55 |
| 10 | Cadiz B | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 11 | UD Los Palacios | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 40:45 | 53 |
| 12 | Coria C.F. | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 56:47 | 50 |
| 13 | Puerto Real CF | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 32:39 | 49 |
| 14 | Sevilla C | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 15 | Algeciras | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 48:53 | 46 |
| 16 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 36:41 | 44 |
| 17 | Portuense | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 39:56 | 43 |
| 18 | Murallas de Ceuta FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 29:42 | 41 |
| 19 | Dos Hermanas | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 24:92 | 19 |
| 20 | AD Cartaya | 38 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 25:82 | 18 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
