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Marines vs Gicumbi

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Premier League
Marines Logo

Marines

1 - 1
FT
Gicumbi Logo

Gicumbi

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Marines
15%
Draws
39%
Gicumbi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Marines have won more games recently than Gicumbi.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Marines taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Marines Clean Sheet 68%
Gicumbi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marines Gicumbi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.4 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Marines vs Gicumbi
1:1
Dec 18, 2025 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Marines
1:0
Apr 16, 2022 Premier League
Marines vs Gicumbi
2:1
Dec 11, 2021 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Marines
0:1
Jan 5, 2020 Premier League
Gicumbi vs Marines
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marines 95 / 100
Gicumbi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marines Gicumbi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marines Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marines's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gicumbi let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Marines went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marines VS Gicumbi
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marines

(Home)
30 May
Marines
3 : 2
Muhanga
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
16 May
Marines
2 : 3
Etincelles
09 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 1
Marines
06 May
Bugesera
0 : 4
Marines
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Gicumbi

(Away)
31 May
APR
2 : 0
Gicumbi
24 May
Gicumbi
3 : 2
Mukura Victory Sports
15 May
AS Kigali
2 : 1
Gicumbi
09 May
Gicumbi
2 : 1
Bugesera
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1
Gicumbi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Hilal Omdurman 34 23 6 5 74:25 75
2 APR 34 19 11 4 50:28 68
3 Al-Merreikh 34 16 11 7 41:24 59
4 Rayon Sport 34 14 14 6 40:30 56
5 Kiyovu 34 13 14 7 34:21 53
6 Police 34 12 16 6 29:19 52
7 Mukura Victory Sports 34 12 11 11 36:38 47
8 Marines 34 12 9 13 47:43 45
9 Bugesera 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Musanze 34 11 10 13 38:37 43
11 Gorilla 34 10 10 14 31:42 40
12 Gicumbi 34 10 8 16 38:54 38
13 Etincelles 34 7 16 11 32:40 37
14 AS Kigali 34 8 11 15 27:39 35
15 Gasogi United 34 8 11 15 29:44 35
16 Amagaju 34 9 8 17 19:38 35
17 Muhanga 34 8 7 19 25:46 31
18 Rutsiro 34 6 11 17 30:47 29
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)