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Maringa FC vs Floresta EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Willie Davids, Maringá
Maringa FC Logo

Maringa FC

Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Floresta EC Logo

Floresta EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Maringa FC host Floresta EC in the Serie C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Maringa FC at 1.57 goals for, 1.32 against; Floresta EC at 0.9 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Maringa FC slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.88 - 0.94) back Maringa FC to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maringa FC
35%
Draws
25%
Floresta EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Maringa FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Maringa FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 20%
Floresta EC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Floresta EC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.57 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maringa FC
0:1
Jul 27, 2026 Serie C
Floresta EC vs Maringa FC
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Floresta EC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 49 / 100
Floresta EC 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Floresta EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Maringa FC scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Floresta EC conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Maringa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Maringa FC VS Floresta EC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Maringa FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

Floresta EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Botafogo PB
26 Sept
Floresta EC
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
20 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Floresta EC
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
2 Internacional de Limeira 5 1 4 0 11:9 7
3 Brusque 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
4 Paysandu PA 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz 5 3 2 0 5:2 11
2 Maringa FC 5 2 2 1 4:2 8
3 Floresta EC 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
4 Botafogo PB 5 0 2 3 1:5 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027 (Main)