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Maringa FC vs Guarani

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Willie Davids, Maringá
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Guilherme Cachoeira
10'
Claus M.
10' Event
Maranhao

AI Match Summary

The Serie C game between Maringa FC and Guarani finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maringa FC
35%
Draws
25%
Guarani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maringa FC come out ahead of Guarani on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Maringa FC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 68%
Guarani Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Guarani
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.57 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.37 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Guarani
0:5
Apr 13, 2025 Serie C
Guarani vs Maringa FC
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Maringa FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.69

Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Maranhao
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guilherme Cachoeira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 68 / 100
Guarani 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Guarani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maringa FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Maringa FC scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Guarani has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Maringa FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Maringa FC VS Guarani
0.88 Goals Scored 1.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.86
50% Over 1.5 86%
25% Over 2.5 86%
0% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Maringa FC

(Home)
03 Oct
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Maringa FC
26 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 0
Maringa FC
19 Sept
Maringa FC
2 : 0
Botafogo PB
12 Sept
Maringa FC
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
06 Sept
Floresta EC
0 : 1
Maringa FC
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Guarani

(Away)
29 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Brusque
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
17 Aug
Guarani
2 : 2
Ypiranga FC
10 Aug
Anapolis
2 : 1
Guarani
27 Jul
Guarani
3 : 1
Internacional de Limeira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo PB 19 10 3 6 28:19 33
2 Brusque 19 9 5 5 28:22 32
3 Ferroviaria 19 8 6 5 22:15 30
4 Maringa FC 19 8 6 5 32:30 30
5 Floresta EC 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
6 Internacional de Limeira 19 8 6 5 22:20 30
7 Paysandu PA 19 9 2 8 26:27 29
8 Santa Cruz 19 8 5 6 20:15 29
9 Ypiranga FC 19 8 5 6 27:24 29
10 Guarani 19 7 7 5 34:24 28
11 Figueirense 19 7 7 5 19:22 28
12 Maranhao 19 7 6 6 19:18 27
13 Amazonas 19 7 5 7 21:23 26
14 SER Caxias do Sul 19 6 7 6 17:16 25
15 Ituano 19 6 4 9 18:21 22
16 Volta Redonda 19 6 3 10 13:25 21
17 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 19 5 6 8 21:21 21
18 Anapolis 19 5 4 10 17:22 19
19 Itabaiana 19 4 5 10 14:27 17
20 Confianca 19 3 4 12 11:20 13
Promotion - Serie C (Second stage)
Relegation - Serie D 2027 (Main)