Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Willie Davids
Sat, Jul 4, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Maringa FC play Volta Redonda in the Serie C. It looks like a close match. Recently, Maringa FC averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Volta Redonda averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Maringa FC won 2, Volta Redonda won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 0-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Maringa FC and 1.31 for Volta Redonda. This points to a Maringa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Maringa FC
29%
Draws
31%
Volta Redonda
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Maringa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Maringa FC picked up more points recently compared to Volta Redonda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Maringa FC Clean Sheet 18%
Volta Redonda Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Maringa FC Volta Redonda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.79 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda
0-1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Maringa FC
1-2
Mar 12, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda
1-1
Feb 12, 2025 Serie C
Volta Redonda vs Maringa FC
0-0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie C
Maringa FC vs Volta Redonda
2-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Maringa FC 40 / 100
Volta Redonda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Maringa FC Volta Redonda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Maringa FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Maringa FC attacking → ← attacking Volta Redonda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maringa FC scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Volta Redonda let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Maringa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Volta Redonda lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 40
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Guarani1264223:1122
2Brusque1263317:1321
3Paysandu PA1262419:1620
4Ituano1254315:1219
5Ferroviaria1254312:1019
6Internacional de Limeira1254315:1419
7Santa Cruz1253412:918
8Floresta EC1253415:1418
9Volta Redonda1252510:1117
10Amazonas1252513:1617
11SER Caxias do Sul1245312:1017
12Botafogo PB1251615:1516
13Maringa FC1244422:2416
14Figueirense1244411:1516
15Ypiranga FC1243515:1715
16Maranhao123549:1214
17Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1226414:1312
18Confianca123277:1011
19Itabaiana122469:1710
20Anapolis122379:159