Sport Picks
Marinhense vs Alcains
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Marinhense and Alcains finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marinhense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Marinhense carry the better recent record into this one.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Marinhense taking it.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marinhense | Alcains |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.08 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.72 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Marinhense Compare
Alcains Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcains has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Alcains lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Marinhense scored in 62% of their last 37 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Marinhense
(Home)Alcains
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 41:10 | 65 |
| 2 | Fatima | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 30:12 | 49 |
| 3 | Arronches Benfica | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 27:17 | 48 |
| 4 | GD Peniche | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 39 |
| 5 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 30:28 | 37 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 23:21 | 37 |
| 7 | Marinhense | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 24:21 | 36 |
| 8 | Alverca B | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 9 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 23:21 | 34 |
| 10 | SC Pombal | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:34 | 32 |
| 11 | Uniao de Coimbra | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:44 | 25 |
| 12 | Sertanense | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:33 | 21 |
| 13 | Alcains | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17:36 | 18 |
| 14 | Pero Pinheiro | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 12:39 | 12 |
