Sport Picks
Marinhense vs GD Peniche
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 game between Marinhense and GD Peniche finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GD Peniche
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- GD Peniche carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Marinhense's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 68%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Marinhense | GD Peniche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs GD Peniche
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Marinhense
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs GD Peniche
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Marinhense
2:0
Jan 14, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs GD Peniche
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Marinhense 46 / 100
GD Peniche 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Marinhense GD Peniche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
GD Peniche let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
GD Peniche lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Marinhense found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Marinhense VS GD Peniche
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Marinhense
(Home) 18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0 Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5 Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1 SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0 Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0 Marinhense
Page 1 of 7
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5 Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1 SC Lusitania
15 Mar
Marinhense
0 : 1 SB Castelo Branco
04 Mar
Marinhense
2 : 1 Naval 1893
28 Feb
Marinhense
0 : 0 Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 4
GD Peniche
(Away) 18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1 SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1 GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2 SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2 GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2 GD Peniche
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1 GD Peniche
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2 GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2 GD Peniche
07 Mar
Os Marialvas
1 : 3 GD Peniche
22 Feb
Mortagua FC
2 : 1 GD Peniche
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
