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Marinhense vs Rio Maior SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Marinhense Logo

Marinhense

2 - 1
FT
Rio Maior SC Logo

Rio Maior SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marinhense in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marinhense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Marinhense
20%
Draws
40%
Rio Maior SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Rio Maior SC haven't matched Marinhense's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Rio Maior SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 19%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marinhense Rio Maior SC
Matches Played 38 17
Wins 12 1
Draws 12 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.03 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.26 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Marinhense
0:0
Dec 4, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs Rio Maior SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marinhense 20 / 100
Rio Maior SC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marinhense Rio Maior SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Maior SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Maior SC has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Attacking prowess: Marinhense scored in 61% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Rio Maior SC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Marinhense VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Marinhense

(Home)
18 Apr
Oliveira Hospital
3 : 0
Marinhense
12 Apr
Marinhense
4 : 5
Lajense
04 Apr
Marinhense
1 : 1
SC Lusitania
29 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Marinhense
22 Mar
Uniao Da Serra
1 : 0
Marinhense
Page 1 of 8

Rio Maior SC

(Away)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)