Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Marino De Luanco vs Basconia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Torrico A.
23' Event
Quiros
(Penalty)
32' Event
Torrico A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 game between Marino De Luanco and Basconia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Marino De Luanco
20%
Draws
46%
Basconia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basconia come out ahead of Marino De Luanco on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Marino De Luanco taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 14%
Basconia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marino De Luanco Basconia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 12
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Basconia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Marino De Luanco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Torrico A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marino De Luanco 41 / 100
Basconia 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marino De Luanco Basconia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Marino De Luanco found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Marino De Luanco remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marino De Luanco VS Basconia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Marino De Luanco

(Home)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 6

Basconia

(Away)
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)