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Marino De Luanco vs Sestao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Marino De Luanco host Sestao in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Marino De Luanco have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.03 conceded recently, against Sestao's 1.24 scored and 1.03 conceded. Past meetings favor Marino De Luanco slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 29, 2019, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.27) point toward Sestao. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Marino De Luanco
15%
Draws
57%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sestao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sestao a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Marino De Luanco Clean Sheet 19%
Sestao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Marino De Luanco Sestao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Sestao vs Marino De Luanco
0:1
Jun 23, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
Marino De Luanco vs Sestao
0:0
Mar 4, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Marino De Luanco vs Sestao
1:0
Sep 24, 2008 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sestao vs Marino De Luanco
2:1
May 6, 2007 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs Marino De Luanco
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Marino De Luanco 24 / 100
Sestao 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Marino De Luanco Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sestao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sestao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Marino De Luanco's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Marino De Luanco remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Marino De Luanco VS Sestao
1.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.75
86% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Marino De Luanco

(Home)
03 Oct
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 2
Marino De Luanco
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Marino De Luanco
0 : 2
Ourense CF
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3
Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 6

Sestao

(Away)
04 Oct
Gernika Club
1 : 2
Sestao
30 Sept
Sestao
4 : 1
Terrassa
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
16 Sept
Comillas CF
1 : 2
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)